Republican incumbent Brad Finstad holds a clear edge in Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District, an agriculture-focused seat along the southern border rated Likely Republican by the Cook Political Report with a PVI of R+6. Early 2026 polling showed Finstad ahead of likely Democratic nominee Jake Johnson by margins of 10 points or less, consistent with the district’s recent voting patterns and Finstad’s 2024 re-election performance. The August 11 Republican and Democratic primaries are the next immediate milestones, after which attention will shift to the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 74% Republican reflects the structural advantages of incumbency, fundraising, and district composition, while Democratic chances remain constrained absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$19,738 交易量
$19,738 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
74%
民主党
26%
$19,738 交易量
$19,738 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$9,342 交易量
74%
民主党
$10,396 交易量
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Brad Finstad holds a clear edge in Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District, an agriculture-focused seat along the southern border rated Likely Republican by the Cook Political Report with a PVI of R+6. Early 2026 polling showed Finstad ahead of likely Democratic nominee Jake Johnson by margins of 10 points or less, consistent with the district’s recent voting patterns and Finstad’s 2024 re-election performance. The August 11 Republican and Democratic primaries are the next immediate milestones, after which attention will shift to the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 74% Republican reflects the structural advantages of incumbency, fundraising, and district composition, while Democratic chances remain constrained absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$19,738结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Brad Finstad holds a clear edge in Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District, an agriculture-focused seat along the southern border rated Likely Republican by the Cook Political Report with a PVI of R+6. Early 2026 polling showed Finstad ahead of likely Democratic nominee Jake Johnson by margins of 10 points or less, consistent with the district’s recent voting patterns and Finstad’s 2024 re-election performance. The August 11 Republican and Democratic primaries are the next immediate milestones, after which attention will shift to the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 74% Republican reflects the structural advantages of incumbency, fundraising, and district composition, while Democratic chances remain constrained absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$19,738结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Brad Finstad holds a clear edge in Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District, an agriculture-focused seat along the southern border rated Likely Republican by the Cook Political Report with a PVI of R+6. Early 2026 polling showed Finstad ahead of likely Democratic nominee Jake Johnson by margins of 10 points or less, consistent with the district’s recent voting patterns and Finstad’s 2024 re-election performance. The August 11 Republican and Democratic primaries are the next immediate milestones, after which attention will shift to the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 74% Republican reflects the structural advantages of incumbency, fundraising, and district composition, while Democratic chances remain constrained absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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