Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds a structural edge in Minnesota’s 1st congressional district, rated Solid or Likely Republican by nonpartisan analysts with a partisan voting index of R+6. Finstad’s 2024 victory margin exceeded 17 points, and the August 11 primaries for both parties leave limited time for challengers to close gaps before the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 75% Republican reflects the district’s consistent Republican tilt in recent cycles, fundraising advantages for the incumbent, and absence of major late developments that would shift the race into toss-up territory. Democratic primary contenders Alex Eaton and Jake Johnson face the task of consolidating support and mounting a general-election campaign in a seat last won by their party more than a decade ago.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$19,738 交易量
$19,738 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
75%
民主党
26%
$19,738 交易量
$19,738 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$9,342 交易量
75%
民主党
$10,396 交易量
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds a structural edge in Minnesota’s 1st congressional district, rated Solid or Likely Republican by nonpartisan analysts with a partisan voting index of R+6. Finstad’s 2024 victory margin exceeded 17 points, and the August 11 primaries for both parties leave limited time for challengers to close gaps before the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 75% Republican reflects the district’s consistent Republican tilt in recent cycles, fundraising advantages for the incumbent, and absence of major late developments that would shift the race into toss-up territory. Democratic primary contenders Alex Eaton and Jake Johnson face the task of consolidating support and mounting a general-election campaign in a seat last won by their party more than a decade ago.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$19,738结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds a structural edge in Minnesota’s 1st congressional district, rated Solid or Likely Republican by nonpartisan analysts with a partisan voting index of R+6. Finstad’s 2024 victory margin exceeded 17 points, and the August 11 primaries for both parties leave limited time for challengers to close gaps before the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 75% Republican reflects the district’s consistent Republican tilt in recent cycles, fundraising advantages for the incumbent, and absence of major late developments that would shift the race into toss-up territory. Democratic primary contenders Alex Eaton and Jake Johnson face the task of consolidating support and mounting a general-election campaign in a seat last won by their party more than a decade ago.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$19,738结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds a structural edge in Minnesota’s 1st congressional district, rated Solid or Likely Republican by nonpartisan analysts with a partisan voting index of R+6. Finstad’s 2024 victory margin exceeded 17 points, and the August 11 primaries for both parties leave limited time for challengers to close gaps before the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 75% Republican reflects the district’s consistent Republican tilt in recent cycles, fundraising advantages for the incumbent, and absence of major late developments that would shift the race into toss-up territory. Democratic primary contenders Alex Eaton and Jake Johnson face the task of consolidating support and mounting a general-election campaign in a seat last won by their party more than a decade ago.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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