Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad faces a Democratic primary contest between Jake Johnson and Alex Eaton ahead of the August 11, 2026, primaries and November general election in Minnesota’s 1st District. Trader odds reflect the district’s R+6 partisan voting index and historical Republican performance, tempered by a February 2026 poll showing Finstad at 44% against Johnson at 41% with 15% undecided. The DCCC’s decision to target the seat for a potential flip, citing voter concerns over costs and tariffs, has kept the implied probability narrow between the parties. Upcoming primary outcomes, candidate consolidation, and any shifts in national midterm sentiment or local economic issues could widen or close the gap before the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
39%
共和党
35%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$4,495 交易量
39%
共和党
$3,056 交易量
35%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad faces a Democratic primary contest between Jake Johnson and Alex Eaton ahead of the August 11, 2026, primaries and November general election in Minnesota’s 1st District. Trader odds reflect the district’s R+6 partisan voting index and historical Republican performance, tempered by a February 2026 poll showing Finstad at 44% against Johnson at 41% with 15% undecided. The DCCC’s decision to target the seat for a potential flip, citing voter concerns over costs and tariffs, has kept the implied probability narrow between the parties. Upcoming primary outcomes, candidate consolidation, and any shifts in national midterm sentiment or local economic issues could widen or close the gap before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$7,550结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad faces a Democratic primary contest between Jake Johnson and Alex Eaton ahead of the August 11, 2026, primaries and November general election in Minnesota’s 1st District. Trader odds reflect the district’s R+6 partisan voting index and historical Republican performance, tempered by a February 2026 poll showing Finstad at 44% against Johnson at 41% with 15% undecided. The DCCC’s decision to target the seat for a potential flip, citing voter concerns over costs and tariffs, has kept the implied probability narrow between the parties. Upcoming primary outcomes, candidate consolidation, and any shifts in national midterm sentiment or local economic issues could widen or close the gap before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$7,550结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad faces a Democratic primary contest between Jake Johnson and Alex Eaton ahead of the August 11, 2026, primaries and November general election in Minnesota’s 1st District. Trader odds reflect the district’s R+6 partisan voting index and historical Republican performance, tempered by a February 2026 poll showing Finstad at 44% against Johnson at 41% with 15% undecided. The DCCC’s decision to target the seat for a potential flip, citing voter concerns over costs and tariffs, has kept the implied probability narrow between the parties. Upcoming primary outcomes, candidate consolidation, and any shifts in national midterm sentiment or local economic issues could widen or close the gap before the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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