Maryland’s 1st Congressional District leans Republican with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+8 and delivered 59.4% for incumbent Rep. Andy Harris in 2024. Harris faces a Republican primary challenger on June 23 but retains strong name recognition and fundraising advantages ahead of the November 3 general election. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in their own primary the same day, yet the district’s Eastern Shore and suburban voter base has consistently favored Republican nominees in recent cycles. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal for Democratic contenders and the absence of major polling shifts or external events that would alter the competitive balance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$11,554 交易量
$11,554 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
73%
民主党
23%
$11,554 交易量
$11,554 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$6,896 交易量
73%
民主党
$4,658 交易量
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 1st Congressional District leans Republican with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+8 and delivered 59.4% for incumbent Rep. Andy Harris in 2024. Harris faces a Republican primary challenger on June 23 but retains strong name recognition and fundraising advantages ahead of the November 3 general election. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in their own primary the same day, yet the district’s Eastern Shore and suburban voter base has consistently favored Republican nominees in recent cycles. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal for Democratic contenders and the absence of major polling shifts or external events that would alter the competitive balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$11,554结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 1st Congressional District leans Republican with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+8 and delivered 59.4% for incumbent Rep. Andy Harris in 2024. Harris faces a Republican primary challenger on June 23 but retains strong name recognition and fundraising advantages ahead of the November 3 general election. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in their own primary the same day, yet the district’s Eastern Shore and suburban voter base has consistently favored Republican nominees in recent cycles. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal for Democratic contenders and the absence of major polling shifts or external events that would alter the competitive balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$11,554结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 1st Congressional District leans Republican with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+8 and delivered 59.4% for incumbent Rep. Andy Harris in 2024. Harris faces a Republican primary challenger on June 23 but retains strong name recognition and fundraising advantages ahead of the November 3 general election. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in their own primary the same day, yet the district’s Eastern Shore and suburban voter base has consistently favored Republican nominees in recent cycles. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal for Democratic contenders and the absence of major polling shifts or external events that would alter the competitive balance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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