Incumbent Republican Andy Harris holds Maryland’s 1st congressional district, rated Solid Republican with an R+8 Partisan Voter Index based on recent presidential results. The seat delivered Harris 59 percent in 2024, and a Democratic-led redistricting effort to shift its boundaries failed in the state Senate earlier this year. Democratic primary voters will choose among several lesser-known challengers on June 23, while the Republican primary presents no serious threat to the incumbent. These structural factors—incumbency, district composition, and the absence of competitive opposition—underpin trader consensus that the Republican nominee enters the November general election as the clear favorite.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$10,957 交易量
$10,957 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
70%
民主党
22%
$10,957 交易量
$10,957 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$6,399 交易量
70%
民主党
$4,558 交易量
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andy Harris holds Maryland’s 1st congressional district, rated Solid Republican with an R+8 Partisan Voter Index based on recent presidential results. The seat delivered Harris 59 percent in 2024, and a Democratic-led redistricting effort to shift its boundaries failed in the state Senate earlier this year. Democratic primary voters will choose among several lesser-known challengers on June 23, while the Republican primary presents no serious threat to the incumbent. These structural factors—incumbency, district composition, and the absence of competitive opposition—underpin trader consensus that the Republican nominee enters the November general election as the clear favorite.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$10,957结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andy Harris holds Maryland’s 1st congressional district, rated Solid Republican with an R+8 Partisan Voter Index based on recent presidential results. The seat delivered Harris 59 percent in 2024, and a Democratic-led redistricting effort to shift its boundaries failed in the state Senate earlier this year. Democratic primary voters will choose among several lesser-known challengers on June 23, while the Republican primary presents no serious threat to the incumbent. These structural factors—incumbency, district composition, and the absence of competitive opposition—underpin trader consensus that the Republican nominee enters the November general election as the clear favorite.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$10,957结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Andy Harris holds Maryland’s 1st congressional district, rated Solid Republican with an R+8 Partisan Voter Index based on recent presidential results. The seat delivered Harris 59 percent in 2024, and a Democratic-led redistricting effort to shift its boundaries failed in the state Senate earlier this year. Democratic primary voters will choose among several lesser-known challengers on June 23, while the Republican primary presents no serious threat to the incumbent. These structural factors—incumbency, district composition, and the absence of competitive opposition—underpin trader consensus that the Republican nominee enters the November general election as the clear favorite.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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