Maryland's 1st Congressional District maintains a consistent Republican lean, reflected in the Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating and the incumbent's 59.4% victory margin in 2024. Incumbent Representative Andy Harris faces a primary challenge ahead of the June 23 contest but holds strong positioning for the general election on November 3. Multiple Democratic primary candidates have emerged, yet the district's partisan voting index and historical results limit their general-election prospects. Traders' consensus aligns with these structural factors, including limited recent developments such as proposed redistricting efforts that face significant legislative hurdles. No major polling shifts or candidate withdrawals have altered the competitive landscape in the past month.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$10,933 交易量
$10,933 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
73%
民主党
22%
$10,933 交易量
$10,933 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$6,375 交易量
73%
民主党
$4,558 交易量
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 1st Congressional District maintains a consistent Republican lean, reflected in the Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating and the incumbent's 59.4% victory margin in 2024. Incumbent Representative Andy Harris faces a primary challenge ahead of the June 23 contest but holds strong positioning for the general election on November 3. Multiple Democratic primary candidates have emerged, yet the district's partisan voting index and historical results limit their general-election prospects. Traders' consensus aligns with these structural factors, including limited recent developments such as proposed redistricting efforts that face significant legislative hurdles. No major polling shifts or candidate withdrawals have altered the competitive landscape in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$10,933结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 1st Congressional District maintains a consistent Republican lean, reflected in the Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating and the incumbent's 59.4% victory margin in 2024. Incumbent Representative Andy Harris faces a primary challenge ahead of the June 23 contest but holds strong positioning for the general election on November 3. Multiple Democratic primary candidates have emerged, yet the district's partisan voting index and historical results limit their general-election prospects. Traders' consensus aligns with these structural factors, including limited recent developments such as proposed redistricting efforts that face significant legislative hurdles. No major polling shifts or candidate withdrawals have altered the competitive landscape in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$10,933结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 1st Congressional District maintains a consistent Republican lean, reflected in the Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating and the incumbent's 59.4% victory margin in 2024. Incumbent Representative Andy Harris faces a primary challenge ahead of the June 23 contest but holds strong positioning for the general election on November 3. Multiple Democratic primary candidates have emerged, yet the district's partisan voting index and historical results limit their general-election prospects. Traders' consensus aligns with these structural factors, including limited recent developments such as proposed redistricting efforts that face significant legislative hurdles. No major polling shifts or candidate withdrawals have altered the competitive landscape in the past month.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题