Republican incumbent Andy Harris holds a clear edge in Maryland’s 1st congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s R+8 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from major forecasters. Harris, first elected in 2010, benefits from incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition while facing a Democratic primary on June 23 featuring multiple challengers. A Democratic-backed redistricting proposal that could have improved opposition prospects passed the House of Delegates in February but stalled in the Senate, leaving district lines unchanged. Traders assign Republicans the leading implied probability amid these structural factors, though the broader midterm environment and primary outcomes remain variables that could influence final positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$11,530 交易量
$11,530 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
72%
民主党
24%
$11,530 交易量
$11,530 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$6,890 交易量
72%
民主党
$4,640 交易量
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Andy Harris holds a clear edge in Maryland’s 1st congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s R+8 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from major forecasters. Harris, first elected in 2010, benefits from incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition while facing a Democratic primary on June 23 featuring multiple challengers. A Democratic-backed redistricting proposal that could have improved opposition prospects passed the House of Delegates in February but stalled in the Senate, leaving district lines unchanged. Traders assign Republicans the leading implied probability amid these structural factors, though the broader midterm environment and primary outcomes remain variables that could influence final positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$11,530结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Andy Harris holds a clear edge in Maryland’s 1st congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s R+8 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from major forecasters. Harris, first elected in 2010, benefits from incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition while facing a Democratic primary on June 23 featuring multiple challengers. A Democratic-backed redistricting proposal that could have improved opposition prospects passed the House of Delegates in February but stalled in the Senate, leaving district lines unchanged. Traders assign Republicans the leading implied probability amid these structural factors, though the broader midterm environment and primary outcomes remain variables that could influence final positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$11,530结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Andy Harris holds a clear edge in Maryland’s 1st congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s R+8 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from major forecasters. Harris, first elected in 2010, benefits from incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition while facing a Democratic primary on June 23 featuring multiple challengers. A Democratic-backed redistricting proposal that could have improved opposition prospects passed the House of Delegates in February but stalled in the Senate, leaving district lines unchanged. Traders assign Republicans the leading implied probability amid these structural factors, though the broader midterm environment and primary outcomes remain variables that could influence final positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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