Incumbent Republican Andy Harris holds a commanding position in Maryland’s 1st Congressional District race due to the district’s established Republican lean, his long tenure since 2011, and decisive primary victories that consolidated party support ahead of the November general election. Expert race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting consistent past margins and limited Democratic infrastructure in the Eastern Shore and surrounding counties. Harris maintains a substantial fundraising lead over Democratic nominee Dan Schwartz, who emerged from a June primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that favored Republicans by double digits in recent presidential cycles. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical incumbent re-election rates and current polling trends. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or pronounced national partisan shift could still alter the trajectory before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$59,821 交易量
$59,821 交易量
2026-11-02
安迪·哈里斯（共和党）
94%
丹·施瓦茨（民主党）
6%
$59,821 交易量
$59,821 交易量
2026-11-02
安迪·哈里斯（共和党）
$33,551 交易量
94%
丹·施瓦茨（民主党）
$26,269 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andy Harris holds a commanding position in Maryland’s 1st Congressional District race due to the district’s established Republican lean, his long tenure since 2011, and decisive primary victories that consolidated party support ahead of the November general election. Expert race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting consistent past margins and limited Democratic infrastructure in the Eastern Shore and surrounding counties. Harris maintains a substantial fundraising lead over Democratic nominee Dan Schwartz, who emerged from a June primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that favored Republicans by double digits in recent presidential cycles. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical incumbent re-election rates and current polling trends. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or pronounced national partisan shift could still alter the trajectory before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$59,821结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andy Harris holds a commanding position in Maryland’s 1st Congressional District race due to the district’s established Republican lean, his long tenure since 2011, and decisive primary victories that consolidated party support ahead of the November general election. Expert race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting consistent past margins and limited Democratic infrastructure in the Eastern Shore and surrounding counties. Harris maintains a substantial fundraising lead over Democratic nominee Dan Schwartz, who emerged from a June primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that favored Republicans by double digits in recent presidential cycles. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical incumbent re-election rates and current polling trends. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or pronounced national partisan shift could still alter the trajectory before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$59,821结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETIncumbent Republican Andy Harris holds a commanding position in Maryland’s 1st Congressional District race due to the district’s established Republican lean, his long tenure since 2011, and decisive primary victories that consolidated party support ahead of the November general election. Expert race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting consistent past margins and limited Democratic infrastructure in the Eastern Shore and surrounding counties. Harris maintains a substantial fundraising lead over Democratic nominee Dan Schwartz, who emerged from a June primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that favored Republicans by double digits in recent presidential cycles. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical incumbent re-election rates and current polling trends. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or pronounced national partisan shift could still alter the trajectory before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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