Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads trader assessments for Quebec’s next premier because the Parti Québécois maintains a consistent polling edge near 29 percent ahead of the October 5 election, translating into seat projections that favor it winning the most ridings under first-past-the-post rules. Christine Fréchette’s Coalition Avenir Québec has narrowed the popular-vote gap in recent surveys through stronger support on U.S. tariffs and economic management, yet remains behind in most models. Charles Milliard’s Liberals trail further amid vote fragmentation, while other candidates register minimal support. Upcoming leaders’ debates and final financial frameworks could still shift momentum in the closely contested race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于保罗·圣皮埃尔·普拉蒙东 77%
克里斯汀·弗雷谢特 20.3%
查尔斯·米利亚尔 3.4%
贝尔纳·德兰维尔 <1%
$323,158 交易量
$323,158 交易量
2026-10-04
保罗·圣皮埃尔·普拉蒙东
77%
克里斯汀·弗雷谢特
20%
查尔斯·米利亚尔
3%
贝尔纳·德兰维尔
<1%
鲁巴·加扎尔
<1%
埃里克·迪尤艾姆
<1%
索尔·扎内蒂
<1%
保罗·圣皮埃尔·普拉蒙东 77%
克里斯汀·弗雷谢特 20.3%
查尔斯·米利亚尔 3.4%
贝尔纳·德兰维尔 <1%
$323,158 交易量
$323,158 交易量
2026-10-04
保罗·圣皮埃尔·普拉蒙东
$22,435 交易量
77%
克里斯汀·弗雷谢特
$78,587 交易量
20%
查尔斯·米利亚尔
$19,775 交易量
3%
贝尔纳·德兰维尔
$61,577 交易量
<1%
鲁巴·加扎尔
$38,406 交易量
<1%
埃里克·迪尤艾姆
$49,514 交易量
<1%
索尔·扎内蒂
$52,864 交易量
<1%
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads trader assessments for Quebec’s next premier because the Parti Québécois maintains a consistent polling edge near 29 percent ahead of the October 5 election, translating into seat projections that favor it winning the most ridings under first-past-the-post rules. Christine Fréchette’s Coalition Avenir Québec has narrowed the popular-vote gap in recent surveys through stronger support on U.S. tariffs and economic management, yet remains behind in most models. Charles Milliard’s Liberals trail further amid vote fragmentation, while other candidates register minimal support. Upcoming leaders’ debates and final financial frameworks could still shift momentum in the closely contested race.
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
交易量
$323,158结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ETThe 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads trader assessments for Quebec’s next premier because the Parti Québécois maintains a consistent polling edge near 29 percent ahead of the October 5 election, translating into seat projections that favor it winning the most ridings under first-past-the-post rules. Christine Fréchette’s Coalition Avenir Québec has narrowed the popular-vote gap in recent surveys through stronger support on U.S. tariffs and economic management, yet remains behind in most models. Charles Milliard’s Liberals trail further amid vote fragmentation, while other candidates register minimal support. Upcoming leaders’ debates and final financial frameworks could still shift momentum in the closely contested race.
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$323,158结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ETPaul St-Pierre Plamondon leads trader assessments for Quebec’s next premier because the Parti Québécois maintains a consistent polling edge near 29 percent ahead of the October 5 election, translating into seat projections that favor it winning the most ridings under first-past-the-post rules. Christine Fréchette’s Coalition Avenir Québec has narrowed the popular-vote gap in recent surveys through stronger support on U.S. tariffs and economic management, yet remains behind in most models. Charles Milliard’s Liberals trail further amid vote fragmentation, while other candidates register minimal support. Upcoming leaders’ debates and final financial frameworks could still shift momentum in the closely contested race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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