Incumbent Democratic Representative Joe Neguse faces minimal opposition in Colorado’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the June 30 primary and November general election. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+20 Partisan Voter Index, has produced consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, citing Neguse’s established incumbency advantages and limited Republican recruitment or fundraising. The two Republican primary candidates lack significant national party support or resources. Trader consensus around a 93-94% probability for a Democratic win aligns with these structural factors. A Democratic hold could still face disruption from an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic national political shift before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$30,977 交易量
$30,977 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
5%
$30,977 交易量
$30,977 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$17,303 交易量
94%
共和党
$13,674 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Joe Neguse faces minimal opposition in Colorado’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the June 30 primary and November general election. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+20 Partisan Voter Index, has produced consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, citing Neguse’s established incumbency advantages and limited Republican recruitment or fundraising. The two Republican primary candidates lack significant national party support or resources. Trader consensus around a 93-94% probability for a Democratic win aligns with these structural factors. A Democratic hold could still face disruption from an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic national political shift before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$30,977结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Joe Neguse faces minimal opposition in Colorado’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the June 30 primary and November general election. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+20 Partisan Voter Index, has produced consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, citing Neguse’s established incumbency advantages and limited Republican recruitment or fundraising. The two Republican primary candidates lack significant national party support or resources. Trader consensus around a 93-94% probability for a Democratic win aligns with these structural factors. A Democratic hold could still face disruption from an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic national political shift before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$30,977结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Joe Neguse faces minimal opposition in Colorado’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the June 30 primary and November general election. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+20 Partisan Voter Index, has produced consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, citing Neguse’s established incumbency advantages and limited Republican recruitment or fundraising. The two Republican primary candidates lack significant national party support or resources. Trader consensus around a 93-94% probability for a Democratic win aligns with these structural factors. A Democratic hold could still face disruption from an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic national political shift before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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