Democratic incumbent Jason Crow holds a commanding position in Colorado's 6th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, with the seat rated solid or safe Democratic across major forecasters due to its D+11 partisan voter index and Crow's consistent prior victories exceeding 59 percent. The district's suburban Denver composition and recent voting patterns have favored Democrats structurally, while limited Republican fundraising or polling traction against the incumbent has kept the opposing nominee at a significant disadvantage. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, including the absence of major scandals, primary disruptions ahead of the June 30 contests, or national political shifts that would alter the baseline. A late Republican surge tied to broader midterm dynamics, unexpected health or ethics issues for Crow, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability based on current indicators.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$26,742 交易量
$26,742 交易量
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$26,742 交易量
$26,742 交易量
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Jason Crow holds a commanding position in Colorado's 6th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, with the seat rated solid or safe Democratic across major forecasters due to its D+11 partisan voter index and Crow's consistent prior victories exceeding 59 percent. The district's suburban Denver composition and recent voting patterns have favored Democrats structurally, while limited Republican fundraising or polling traction against the incumbent has kept the opposing nominee at a significant disadvantage. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, including the absence of major scandals, primary disruptions ahead of the June 30 contests, or national political shifts that would alter the baseline. A late Republican surge tied to broader midterm dynamics, unexpected health or ethics issues for Crow, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability based on current indicators.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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