Incumbent Democrat Jason Crow holds a commanding position in Colorado's 6th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a D+11 partisan voter index, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including Crow's 59% victory in 2024. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, with limited Republican opposition emerging ahead of the June 30 primaries. Traders price the Democratic nominee at 94.5% implied probability, driven by these structural advantages and the absence of major recent developments that would shift the district's baseline. A late scandal, health event, or unexpected national wave could still alter outcomes, though such factors remain low-probability given the timeline and district fundamentals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$26,742 交易量
$26,742 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$26,742 交易量
$26,742 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$14,293 交易量
95%
共和党
$12,449 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jason Crow holds a commanding position in Colorado's 6th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a D+11 partisan voter index, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including Crow's 59% victory in 2024. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, with limited Republican opposition emerging ahead of the June 30 primaries. Traders price the Democratic nominee at 94.5% implied probability, driven by these structural advantages and the absence of major recent developments that would shift the district's baseline. A late scandal, health event, or unexpected national wave could still alter outcomes, though such factors remain low-probability given the timeline and district fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$26,742结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jason Crow holds a commanding position in Colorado's 6th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a D+11 partisan voter index, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including Crow's 59% victory in 2024. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, with limited Republican opposition emerging ahead of the June 30 primaries. Traders price the Democratic nominee at 94.5% implied probability, driven by these structural advantages and the absence of major recent developments that would shift the district's baseline. A late scandal, health event, or unexpected national wave could still alter outcomes, though such factors remain low-probability given the timeline and district fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$26,742结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jason Crow holds a commanding position in Colorado's 6th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a D+11 partisan voter index, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including Crow's 59% victory in 2024. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, with limited Republican opposition emerging ahead of the June 30 primaries. Traders price the Democratic nominee at 94.5% implied probability, driven by these structural advantages and the absence of major recent developments that would shift the district's baseline. A late scandal, health event, or unexpected national wave could still alter outcomes, though such factors remain low-probability given the timeline and district fundamentals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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