Colorado’s 1st Congressional District, encompassing Denver and surrounding areas, has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles, including the incumbent’s 76.6 percent victory in 2024. The seat carries solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan analysts, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages and limited Republican infrastructure. With the June 30 Democratic primary two weeks away and only one Republican nominee on the November 3 general-election ballot, traders assign the Democratic Party a 93.5 percent implied probability. A late primary upset or unanticipated national political shift could still alter the general-election matchup, yet the district’s structural lean and historical turnout patterns continue to anchor the current consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$15,871 交易量
$15,871 交易量
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$15,871 交易量
$15,871 交易量
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Colorado’s 1st Congressional District, encompassing Denver and surrounding areas, has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles, including the incumbent’s 76.6 percent victory in 2024. The seat carries solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan analysts, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages and limited Republican infrastructure. With the June 30 Democratic primary two weeks away and only one Republican nominee on the November 3 general-election ballot, traders assign the Democratic Party a 93.5 percent implied probability. A late primary upset or unanticipated national political shift could still alter the general-election matchup, yet the district’s structural lean and historical turnout patterns continue to anchor the current consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题