Colorado’s 1st congressional district, encompassing Denver and surrounding areas, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins, with the incumbent winning 76.6% in 2024. The June 30 primary will select the Democratic nominee among Rep. Diana DeGette and challengers Melat Kiros and Wanda James, while Republican Christy Peterson faces no primary opposition ahead of the November 3 general election. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 93.5% implied probability because structural advantages in voter registration, fundraising, and turnout make a Republican victory improbable absent a major unforeseen event such as a late scandal or national political realignment that shifts local preferences.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$15,871 交易量
$15,871 交易量
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$15,871 交易量
$15,871 交易量
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Colorado’s 1st congressional district, encompassing Denver and surrounding areas, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins, with the incumbent winning 76.6% in 2024. The June 30 primary will select the Democratic nominee among Rep. Diana DeGette and challengers Melat Kiros and Wanda James, while Republican Christy Peterson faces no primary opposition ahead of the November 3 general election. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 93.5% implied probability because structural advantages in voter registration, fundraising, and turnout make a Republican victory improbable absent a major unforeseen event such as a late scandal or national political realignment that shifts local preferences.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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