Incumbent Maxine Waters secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2 primary with roughly 64 percent of the vote, advancing to face Republican Cristian Morales in the November general election for California's 43rd congressional district. The seat's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+25, combined with Waters' long tenure and primary dominance, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome. Forecasters across outlets rate the race as solid or safe Democratic. While the general election remains months away, realistic shifts would require major unforeseen developments such as a withdrawal by the incumbent or an extraordinary national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's structural Democratic advantage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$25,208 交易量
$25,208 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
5%
$25,208 交易量
$25,208 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$9,890 交易量
94%
共和党
$15,317 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Maxine Waters secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2 primary with roughly 64 percent of the vote, advancing to face Republican Cristian Morales in the November general election for California's 43rd congressional district. The seat's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+25, combined with Waters' long tenure and primary dominance, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome. Forecasters across outlets rate the race as solid or safe Democratic. While the general election remains months away, realistic shifts would require major unforeseen developments such as a withdrawal by the incumbent or an extraordinary national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's structural Democratic advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
交易量
$25,208结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Maxine Waters secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2 primary with roughly 64 percent of the vote, advancing to face Republican Cristian Morales in the November general election for California's 43rd congressional district. The seat's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+25, combined with Waters' long tenure and primary dominance, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome. Forecasters across outlets rate the race as solid or safe Democratic. While the general election remains months away, realistic shifts would require major unforeseen developments such as a withdrawal by the incumbent or an extraordinary national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's structural Democratic advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$25,208结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Maxine Waters secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2 primary with roughly 64 percent of the vote, advancing to face Republican Cristian Morales in the November general election for California's 43rd congressional district. The seat's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+25, combined with Waters' long tenure and primary dominance, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome. Forecasters across outlets rate the race as solid or safe Democratic. While the general election remains months away, realistic shifts would require major unforeseen developments such as a withdrawal by the incumbent or an extraordinary national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's structural Democratic advantage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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