California’s 43rd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat following the June 2026 primary, where longtime incumbent Maxine Waters secured the nomination with roughly 64 percent against Republican Cristian Morales and two other Democratic challengers. The district’s voter registration advantage, consistent partisan voting patterns, and post-redistricting boundaries continue to favor Democratic candidates in general elections. Traders price the Democratic nominee as the clear frontrunner at 93.5 percent because no major shifts in candidate viability or district dynamics have emerged since the primary. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a late-breaking scandal involving the nominee, significant changes in national political conditions affecting turnout, or an unusually strong Republican performance in a low-turnout contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$25,208 交易量
$25,208 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
5%
$25,208 交易量
$25,208 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$9,890 交易量
94%
共和党
$15,317 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 43rd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat following the June 2026 primary, where longtime incumbent Maxine Waters secured the nomination with roughly 64 percent against Republican Cristian Morales and two other Democratic challengers. The district’s voter registration advantage, consistent partisan voting patterns, and post-redistricting boundaries continue to favor Democratic candidates in general elections. Traders price the Democratic nominee as the clear frontrunner at 93.5 percent because no major shifts in candidate viability or district dynamics have emerged since the primary. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a late-breaking scandal involving the nominee, significant changes in national political conditions affecting turnout, or an unusually strong Republican performance in a low-turnout contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
交易量
$25,208结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 43rd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat following the June 2026 primary, where longtime incumbent Maxine Waters secured the nomination with roughly 64 percent against Republican Cristian Morales and two other Democratic challengers. The district’s voter registration advantage, consistent partisan voting patterns, and post-redistricting boundaries continue to favor Democratic candidates in general elections. Traders price the Democratic nominee as the clear frontrunner at 93.5 percent because no major shifts in candidate viability or district dynamics have emerged since the primary. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a late-breaking scandal involving the nominee, significant changes in national political conditions affecting turnout, or an unusually strong Republican performance in a low-turnout contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$25,208结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 43rd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat following the June 2026 primary, where longtime incumbent Maxine Waters secured the nomination with roughly 64 percent against Republican Cristian Morales and two other Democratic challengers. The district’s voter registration advantage, consistent partisan voting patterns, and post-redistricting boundaries continue to favor Democratic candidates in general elections. Traders price the Democratic nominee as the clear frontrunner at 93.5 percent because no major shifts in candidate viability or district dynamics have emerged since the primary. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a late-breaking scandal involving the nominee, significant changes in national political conditions affecting turnout, or an unusually strong Republican performance in a low-turnout contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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