Incumbent Maxine Waters secured the top spot in the June 2, 2026, nonpartisan primary for California's 43rd congressional district with roughly 63 percent of the vote, advancing alongside Republican challenger Cristian Morales. The district's consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, combined with Waters' long tenure since 1991 and established fundraising and organizational advantages, underpins the market's strong consensus for a Democratic general-election victory on November 3. Traders price in limited crossover appeal for the Republican nominee in this Los Angeles-area seat. A major late-campaign development, such as an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unusually strong national Republican tailwinds, could narrow the margin, though historical voting patterns and the primary outcome indicate few structural pathways for an upset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$24,059 交易量
$24,059 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
5%
$24,059 交易量
$24,059 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$9,491 交易量
95%
共和党
$14,567 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Maxine Waters secured the top spot in the June 2, 2026, nonpartisan primary for California's 43rd congressional district with roughly 63 percent of the vote, advancing alongside Republican challenger Cristian Morales. The district's consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, combined with Waters' long tenure since 1991 and established fundraising and organizational advantages, underpins the market's strong consensus for a Democratic general-election victory on November 3. Traders price in limited crossover appeal for the Republican nominee in this Los Angeles-area seat. A major late-campaign development, such as an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unusually strong national Republican tailwinds, could narrow the margin, though historical voting patterns and the primary outcome indicate few structural pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
交易量
$24,059结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Maxine Waters secured the top spot in the June 2, 2026, nonpartisan primary for California's 43rd congressional district with roughly 63 percent of the vote, advancing alongside Republican challenger Cristian Morales. The district's consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, combined with Waters' long tenure since 1991 and established fundraising and organizational advantages, underpins the market's strong consensus for a Democratic general-election victory on November 3. Traders price in limited crossover appeal for the Republican nominee in this Los Angeles-area seat. A major late-campaign development, such as an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unusually strong national Republican tailwinds, could narrow the margin, though historical voting patterns and the primary outcome indicate few structural pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$24,059结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Maxine Waters secured the top spot in the June 2, 2026, nonpartisan primary for California's 43rd congressional district with roughly 63 percent of the vote, advancing alongside Republican challenger Cristian Morales. The district's consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, combined with Waters' long tenure since 1991 and established fundraising and organizational advantages, underpins the market's strong consensus for a Democratic general-election victory on November 3. Traders price in limited crossover appeal for the Republican nominee in this Los Angeles-area seat. A major late-campaign development, such as an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unusually strong national Republican tailwinds, could narrow the margin, though historical voting patterns and the primary outcome indicate few structural pathways for an upset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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