California's 43rd congressional district, centered in southern Los Angeles County, maintains a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent voting patterns. Incumbent Maxine Waters advanced from the June 2, 2026, primary with a clear majority, facing Republican Cristian Morales in the November general election. The district's demographics and historical results have produced large Democratic margins in recent cycles, supporting trader consensus around a near-certain Democratic hold. Late developments that could narrow the gap include significant shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, unexpected campaign developments, or changes in candidate eligibility, though no such factors have emerged to alter the current positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$24,059 交易量
$24,059 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
5%
$24,059 交易量
$24,059 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$9,491 交易量
95%
共和党
$14,567 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 43rd congressional district, centered in southern Los Angeles County, maintains a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent voting patterns. Incumbent Maxine Waters advanced from the June 2, 2026, primary with a clear majority, facing Republican Cristian Morales in the November general election. The district's demographics and historical results have produced large Democratic margins in recent cycles, supporting trader consensus around a near-certain Democratic hold. Late developments that could narrow the gap include significant shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, unexpected campaign developments, or changes in candidate eligibility, though no such factors have emerged to alter the current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
交易量
$24,059结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 43rd congressional district, centered in southern Los Angeles County, maintains a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent voting patterns. Incumbent Maxine Waters advanced from the June 2, 2026, primary with a clear majority, facing Republican Cristian Morales in the November general election. The district's demographics and historical results have produced large Democratic margins in recent cycles, supporting trader consensus around a near-certain Democratic hold. Late developments that could narrow the gap include significant shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, unexpected campaign developments, or changes in candidate eligibility, though no such factors have emerged to alter the current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$24,059结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 43rd congressional district, centered in southern Los Angeles County, maintains a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent voting patterns. Incumbent Maxine Waters advanced from the June 2, 2026, primary with a clear majority, facing Republican Cristian Morales in the November general election. The district's demographics and historical results have produced large Democratic margins in recent cycles, supporting trader consensus around a near-certain Democratic hold. Late developments that could narrow the gap include significant shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, unexpected campaign developments, or changes in candidate eligibility, though no such factors have emerged to alter the current positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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