California’s 11th congressional district, encompassing much of San Francisco, maintains a strong Democratic voter registration advantage exceeding 60 percent, with Republicans below 10 percent. Nancy Pelosi’s retirement after decades in the seat opened the race, but the June 2, 2026, top-two primary advanced only Democratic candidates Scott Wiener and Connie Chan to the November general election, with no Republican advancing in competitive numbers. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Traders’ 97 percent consensus on a Democratic winner reflects this partisan composition and primary outcome. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal affecting both nominees or a late independent or Republican surge in a district with limited historical crossover support.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
97%
共和党
3%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$5,927 交易量
97%
共和党
$2,143 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 11th congressional district, encompassing much of San Francisco, maintains a strong Democratic voter registration advantage exceeding 60 percent, with Republicans below 10 percent. Nancy Pelosi’s retirement after decades in the seat opened the race, but the June 2, 2026, top-two primary advanced only Democratic candidates Scott Wiener and Connie Chan to the November general election, with no Republican advancing in competitive numbers. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Traders’ 97 percent consensus on a Democratic winner reflects this partisan composition and primary outcome. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal affecting both nominees or a late independent or Republican surge in a district with limited historical crossover support.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
交易量
$8,070结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 11th congressional district, encompassing much of San Francisco, maintains a strong Democratic voter registration advantage exceeding 60 percent, with Republicans below 10 percent. Nancy Pelosi’s retirement after decades in the seat opened the race, but the June 2, 2026, top-two primary advanced only Democratic candidates Scott Wiener and Connie Chan to the November general election, with no Republican advancing in competitive numbers. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Traders’ 97 percent consensus on a Democratic winner reflects this partisan composition and primary outcome. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal affecting both nominees or a late independent or Republican surge in a district with limited historical crossover support.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$8,070结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 11th congressional district, encompassing much of San Francisco, maintains a strong Democratic voter registration advantage exceeding 60 percent, with Republicans below 10 percent. Nancy Pelosi’s retirement after decades in the seat opened the race, but the June 2, 2026, top-two primary advanced only Democratic candidates Scott Wiener and Connie Chan to the November general election, with no Republican advancing in competitive numbers. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Traders’ 97 percent consensus on a Democratic winner reflects this partisan composition and primary outcome. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal affecting both nominees or a late independent or Republican surge in a district with limited historical crossover support.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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