California's 11th congressional district, encompassing much of San Francisco, maintains a strong Democratic registration advantage exceeding 60 percent. Nancy Pelosi's retirement opened the seat, but the June 2, 2026, primary produced a general election matchup between two Democrats, state Senator Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan, with the leading Republican candidate finishing far behind. This intra-party contest in a district where Democrats have long dominated House races accounts for the market's heavy weighting toward a Democratic winner. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in voter behavior or turnout patterns not observed in recent cycles for this area.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
97%
共和党
3%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$6,264 交易量
97%
共和党
$3,637 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 11th congressional district, encompassing much of San Francisco, maintains a strong Democratic registration advantage exceeding 60 percent. Nancy Pelosi's retirement opened the seat, but the June 2, 2026, primary produced a general election matchup between two Democrats, state Senator Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan, with the leading Republican candidate finishing far behind. This intra-party contest in a district where Democrats have long dominated House races accounts for the market's heavy weighting toward a Democratic winner. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in voter behavior or turnout patterns not observed in recent cycles for this area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
交易量
$9,901结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 11th congressional district, encompassing much of San Francisco, maintains a strong Democratic registration advantage exceeding 60 percent. Nancy Pelosi's retirement opened the seat, but the June 2, 2026, primary produced a general election matchup between two Democrats, state Senator Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan, with the leading Republican candidate finishing far behind. This intra-party contest in a district where Democrats have long dominated House races accounts for the market's heavy weighting toward a Democratic winner. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in voter behavior or turnout patterns not observed in recent cycles for this area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,901结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 11th congressional district, encompassing much of San Francisco, maintains a strong Democratic registration advantage exceeding 60 percent. Nancy Pelosi's retirement opened the seat, but the June 2, 2026, primary produced a general election matchup between two Democrats, state Senator Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan, with the leading Republican candidate finishing far behind. This intra-party contest in a district where Democrats have long dominated House races accounts for the market's heavy weighting toward a Democratic winner. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in voter behavior or turnout patterns not observed in recent cycles for this area.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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