California's 11th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat following Nancy Pelosi's retirement. In the June 2026 primary, state Senator Scott Wiener and San Francisco Supervisor Connie Chan advanced as the top two finishers, both Democrats, while no Republican candidate reached the general election ballot on November 3. This structural outcome, combined with the district's consistent partisan registration and voting patterns in recent cycles, has produced overwhelming trader consensus that the winner will be a Democrat. The slim Republican share reflects the remote possibility of an independent or write-in surge, though such shifts have no recent precedent in this safely held district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
98%
共和党
2%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$6,029 交易量
98%
共和党
$2,143 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 11th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat following Nancy Pelosi's retirement. In the June 2026 primary, state Senator Scott Wiener and San Francisco Supervisor Connie Chan advanced as the top two finishers, both Democrats, while no Republican candidate reached the general election ballot on November 3. This structural outcome, combined with the district's consistent partisan registration and voting patterns in recent cycles, has produced overwhelming trader consensus that the winner will be a Democrat. The slim Republican share reflects the remote possibility of an independent or write-in surge, though such shifts have no recent precedent in this safely held district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
交易量
$8,172结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 11th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat following Nancy Pelosi's retirement. In the June 2026 primary, state Senator Scott Wiener and San Francisco Supervisor Connie Chan advanced as the top two finishers, both Democrats, while no Republican candidate reached the general election ballot on November 3. This structural outcome, combined with the district's consistent partisan registration and voting patterns in recent cycles, has produced overwhelming trader consensus that the winner will be a Democrat. The slim Republican share reflects the remote possibility of an independent or write-in surge, though such shifts have no recent precedent in this safely held district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$8,172结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 11th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat following Nancy Pelosi's retirement. In the June 2026 primary, state Senator Scott Wiener and San Francisco Supervisor Connie Chan advanced as the top two finishers, both Democrats, while no Republican candidate reached the general election ballot on November 3. This structural outcome, combined with the district's consistent partisan registration and voting patterns in recent cycles, has produced overwhelming trader consensus that the winner will be a Democrat. The slim Republican share reflects the remote possibility of an independent or write-in surge, though such shifts have no recent precedent in this safely held district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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