Tennessee's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings as a solid or safe Republican seat across major forecasters. Incumbent Scott DesJarlais secured the Republican nomination in the August 6 primary, facing Democrat Victoria Broderick in the November general election. This structural advantage, combined with the district's voting history and limited competitive pressure, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as major scandals, significant national partisan swings, or unexpected redistricting changes, though historical patterns in similar districts suggest these would need to be substantial to alter the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$38,077 交易量
$38,077 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
93%
民主党
8%
$38,077 交易量
$38,077 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
$19,445 交易量
93%
民主党
$18,631 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings as a solid or safe Republican seat across major forecasters. Incumbent Scott DesJarlais secured the Republican nomination in the August 6 primary, facing Democrat Victoria Broderick in the November general election. This structural advantage, combined with the district's voting history and limited competitive pressure, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as major scandals, significant national partisan swings, or unexpected redistricting changes, though historical patterns in similar districts suggest these would need to be substantial to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$38,077结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings as a solid or safe Republican seat across major forecasters. Incumbent Scott DesJarlais secured the Republican nomination in the August 6 primary, facing Democrat Victoria Broderick in the November general election. This structural advantage, combined with the district's voting history and limited competitive pressure, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as major scandals, significant national partisan swings, or unexpected redistricting changes, though historical patterns in similar districts suggest these would need to be substantial to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$38,077结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings as a solid or safe Republican seat across major forecasters. Incumbent Scott DesJarlais secured the Republican nomination in the August 6 primary, facing Democrat Victoria Broderick in the November general election. This structural advantage, combined with the district's voting history and limited competitive pressure, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as major scandals, significant national partisan swings, or unexpected redistricting changes, though historical patterns in similar districts suggest these would need to be substantial to alter the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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