Republican incumbent Matt Van Epps, who won a December 2025 special election to fill the seat, secured his party's nomination in the August 6, 2026 primary and faces Democratic nominee Darden Copeland in the November general election. The district's Republican tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+11 and prior presidential margins exceeding 20 points, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 88 percent. Primary results confirmed Van Epps's strong position among Republican voters while the Democratic contest produced a challenger without altering the underlying partisan balance. Upcoming campaign developments or turnout shifts in Middle Tennessee counties could still influence the final margin before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$11,796 交易量
$11,796 交易量
共和党
88%
民主党
11%
$11,796 交易量
$11,796 交易量
共和党
88%
民主党
11%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Matt Van Epps, who won a December 2025 special election to fill the seat, secured his party's nomination in the August 6, 2026 primary and faces Democratic nominee Darden Copeland in the November general election. The district's Republican tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+11 and prior presidential margins exceeding 20 points, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 88 percent. Primary results confirmed Van Epps's strong position among Republican voters while the Democratic contest produced a challenger without altering the underlying partisan balance. Upcoming campaign developments or turnout shifts in Middle Tennessee counties could still influence the final margin before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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