Illinois's 5th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19, reflecting consistent Democratic dominance in recent presidential and House voting. Incumbent Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Republican Tom Hanson with substantial fundraising leads and name recognition built over multiple terms. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the 93.5% market pricing for the Democratic nominee. The district's high education levels and urban-suburban composition further reinforce the structural edge. Even at these levels, developments such as a significant candidate health event, ethics controversy, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave could still shift the outcome before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$10,122 交易量
$10,122 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$10,122 交易量
$10,122 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$8,574 交易量
94%
共和党
$1,548 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 5th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19, reflecting consistent Democratic dominance in recent presidential and House voting. Incumbent Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Republican Tom Hanson with substantial fundraising leads and name recognition built over multiple terms. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the 93.5% market pricing for the Democratic nominee. The district's high education levels and urban-suburban composition further reinforce the structural edge. Even at these levels, developments such as a significant candidate health event, ethics controversy, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave could still shift the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$10,122结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 5th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19, reflecting consistent Democratic dominance in recent presidential and House voting. Incumbent Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Republican Tom Hanson with substantial fundraising leads and name recognition built over multiple terms. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the 93.5% market pricing for the Democratic nominee. The district's high education levels and urban-suburban composition further reinforce the structural edge. Even at these levels, developments such as a significant candidate health event, ethics controversy, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave could still shift the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$10,122结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's 5th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19, reflecting consistent Democratic dominance in recent presidential and House voting. Incumbent Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Republican Tom Hanson with substantial fundraising leads and name recognition built over multiple terms. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the 93.5% market pricing for the Democratic nominee. The district's high education levels and urban-suburban composition further reinforce the structural edge. Even at these levels, developments such as a significant candidate health event, ethics controversy, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave could still shift the outcome before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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