The Illinois 2nd congressional district's pronounced Democratic tilt, evidenced by the prior incumbent's consistent double-digit margins and the area's demographic makeup in south Chicago and surrounding suburbs, underpins traders' strong consensus around a Democratic general election victory. Robin Kelly's decision to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat, but Donna Miller's March 2026 primary win over a crowded field, including Jesse Jackson Jr., quickly consolidated party support ahead of the November 3 general election matchup against Republican Mike Noack. Race ratings classify the contest as solidly Democratic, aligning with historical voting patterns in the district. Factors that could still narrow this advantage include an unforeseen national political shift, candidate-specific controversy, or unusually high Republican turnout in a low-profile midterm cycle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$32,203 交易量
$32,203 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$32,203 交易量
$32,203 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$13,696 交易量
94%
共和党
$18,507 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 2nd congressional district's pronounced Democratic tilt, evidenced by the prior incumbent's consistent double-digit margins and the area's demographic makeup in south Chicago and surrounding suburbs, underpins traders' strong consensus around a Democratic general election victory. Robin Kelly's decision to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat, but Donna Miller's March 2026 primary win over a crowded field, including Jesse Jackson Jr., quickly consolidated party support ahead of the November 3 general election matchup against Republican Mike Noack. Race ratings classify the contest as solidly Democratic, aligning with historical voting patterns in the district. Factors that could still narrow this advantage include an unforeseen national political shift, candidate-specific controversy, or unusually high Republican turnout in a low-profile midterm cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$32,203结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 2nd congressional district's pronounced Democratic tilt, evidenced by the prior incumbent's consistent double-digit margins and the area's demographic makeup in south Chicago and surrounding suburbs, underpins traders' strong consensus around a Democratic general election victory. Robin Kelly's decision to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat, but Donna Miller's March 2026 primary win over a crowded field, including Jesse Jackson Jr., quickly consolidated party support ahead of the November 3 general election matchup against Republican Mike Noack. Race ratings classify the contest as solidly Democratic, aligning with historical voting patterns in the district. Factors that could still narrow this advantage include an unforeseen national political shift, candidate-specific controversy, or unusually high Republican turnout in a low-profile midterm cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$32,203结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 2nd congressional district's pronounced Democratic tilt, evidenced by the prior incumbent's consistent double-digit margins and the area's demographic makeup in south Chicago and surrounding suburbs, underpins traders' strong consensus around a Democratic general election victory. Robin Kelly's decision to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat, but Donna Miller's March 2026 primary win over a crowded field, including Jesse Jackson Jr., quickly consolidated party support ahead of the November 3 general election matchup against Republican Mike Noack. Race ratings classify the contest as solidly Democratic, aligning with historical voting patterns in the district. Factors that could still narrow this advantage include an unforeseen national political shift, candidate-specific controversy, or unusually high Republican turnout in a low-profile midterm cycle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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