Illinois's 2nd congressional district remains a strongly Democratic-leaning seat following Robin Kelly's decision to seek a U.S. Senate nomination, leaving an open House race. Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with a decisive margin over multiple challengers, positioning her as the clear general-election frontrunner against Republican Michael Noack. The district's consistent partisan voting patterns, combined with limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising in the area, have anchored trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. While late-cycle developments such as candidate health events, significant scandals, or unexpected turnout shifts could theoretically narrow the margin, historical results and current candidate profiles indicate few realistic paths for Republican gains before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$33,160 交易量
$33,160 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
3%
$33,160 交易量
$33,160 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$14,113 交易量
94%
共和党
$19,047 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 2nd congressional district remains a strongly Democratic-leaning seat following Robin Kelly's decision to seek a U.S. Senate nomination, leaving an open House race. Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with a decisive margin over multiple challengers, positioning her as the clear general-election frontrunner against Republican Michael Noack. The district's consistent partisan voting patterns, combined with limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising in the area, have anchored trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. While late-cycle developments such as candidate health events, significant scandals, or unexpected turnout shifts could theoretically narrow the margin, historical results and current candidate profiles indicate few realistic paths for Republican gains before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$33,160结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 2nd congressional district remains a strongly Democratic-leaning seat following Robin Kelly's decision to seek a U.S. Senate nomination, leaving an open House race. Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with a decisive margin over multiple challengers, positioning her as the clear general-election frontrunner against Republican Michael Noack. The district's consistent partisan voting patterns, combined with limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising in the area, have anchored trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. While late-cycle developments such as candidate health events, significant scandals, or unexpected turnout shifts could theoretically narrow the margin, historical results and current candidate profiles indicate few realistic paths for Republican gains before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$33,160结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's 2nd congressional district remains a strongly Democratic-leaning seat following Robin Kelly's decision to seek a U.S. Senate nomination, leaving an open House race. Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with a decisive margin over multiple challengers, positioning her as the clear general-election frontrunner against Republican Michael Noack. The district's consistent partisan voting patterns, combined with limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising in the area, have anchored trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. While late-cycle developments such as candidate health events, significant scandals, or unexpected turnout shifts could theoretically narrow the margin, historical results and current candidate profiles indicate few realistic paths for Republican gains before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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