Michael Guest holds a commanding lead in the MS-03 race due to the district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+14 partisan voter index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. As a three-term incumbent and former district attorney, Guest advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary and maintains substantial fundraising and institutional advantages heading into the November 3 general election. Democratic nominee Michael Chiaradio, a first-time candidate and farmer, secured his party’s nomination without opposition but faces structural barriers in a district that includes Meridian, Starkville, Pearl, and Republican-leaning portions of the Jackson area. A Libertarian candidate is also on the ballot. Late developments such as a major scandal or national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though current conditions show limited competitive pressure.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$62,011 交易量
$62,011 交易量
2026-11-02
迈克尔·格斯特（共和党）
97%
迈克尔·基亚拉迪奥（民主党）
<1%
$62,011 交易量
$62,011 交易量
2026-11-02
迈克尔·格斯特（共和党）
$22,644 交易量
97%
迈克尔·基亚拉迪奥（民主党）
$39,366 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michael Guest holds a commanding lead in the MS-03 race due to the district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+14 partisan voter index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. As a three-term incumbent and former district attorney, Guest advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary and maintains substantial fundraising and institutional advantages heading into the November 3 general election. Democratic nominee Michael Chiaradio, a first-time candidate and farmer, secured his party’s nomination without opposition but faces structural barriers in a district that includes Meridian, Starkville, Pearl, and Republican-leaning portions of the Jackson area. A Libertarian candidate is also on the ballot. Late developments such as a major scandal or national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though current conditions show limited competitive pressure.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$62,011结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michael Guest holds a commanding lead in the MS-03 race due to the district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+14 partisan voter index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. As a three-term incumbent and former district attorney, Guest advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary and maintains substantial fundraising and institutional advantages heading into the November 3 general election. Democratic nominee Michael Chiaradio, a first-time candidate and farmer, secured his party’s nomination without opposition but faces structural barriers in a district that includes Meridian, Starkville, Pearl, and Republican-leaning portions of the Jackson area. A Libertarian candidate is also on the ballot. Late developments such as a major scandal or national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though current conditions show limited competitive pressure.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$62,011结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETMichael Guest holds a commanding lead in the MS-03 race due to the district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+14 partisan voter index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. As a three-term incumbent and former district attorney, Guest advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary and maintains substantial fundraising and institutional advantages heading into the November 3 general election. Democratic nominee Michael Chiaradio, a first-time candidate and farmer, secured his party’s nomination without opposition but faces structural barriers in a district that includes Meridian, Starkville, Pearl, and Republican-leaning portions of the Jackson area. A Libertarian candidate is also on the ballot. Late developments such as a major scandal or national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though current conditions show limited competitive pressure.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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