Mississippi’s 3rd congressional district carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+14 and has delivered consistent GOP margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Michael Guest secured the Republican nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Michael Chiaradio emerged unopposed on his side. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s east-central Mississippi composition and historical voting patterns. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Republican probability aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive challengers or major developments since the primaries. A late scandal, significant national wave, or unexpected candidate withdrawal could still shift dynamics, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the timeline to the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$33,904 交易量
$33,904 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
$33,904 交易量
$33,904 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$8,585 交易量
94%
民主党
$25,320 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mississippi’s 3rd congressional district carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+14 and has delivered consistent GOP margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Michael Guest secured the Republican nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Michael Chiaradio emerged unopposed on his side. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s east-central Mississippi composition and historical voting patterns. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Republican probability aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive challengers or major developments since the primaries. A late scandal, significant national wave, or unexpected candidate withdrawal could still shift dynamics, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the timeline to the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$33,904结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mississippi’s 3rd congressional district carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+14 and has delivered consistent GOP margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Michael Guest secured the Republican nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Michael Chiaradio emerged unopposed on his side. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s east-central Mississippi composition and historical voting patterns. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Republican probability aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive challengers or major developments since the primaries. A late scandal, significant national wave, or unexpected candidate withdrawal could still shift dynamics, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the timeline to the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$33,904结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mississippi’s 3rd congressional district carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+14 and has delivered consistent GOP margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Michael Guest secured the Republican nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Michael Chiaradio emerged unopposed on his side. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s east-central Mississippi composition and historical voting patterns. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Republican probability aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive challengers or major developments since the primaries. A late scandal, significant national wave, or unexpected candidate withdrawal could still shift dynamics, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the timeline to the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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