The district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+9 Partisan Voter Index and multiple "Solid Democratic" ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at over 95%. Incumbent Haley Stevens' retirement to pursue a Senate seat has drawn a competitive Democratic primary field led by state Sen. Jeremy Moss ahead of the August 4 contest, while the Republican side features limited visibility with Mayor Ethan Baker as the main entrant. Recent polling and fundraising patterns show no erosion of the structural advantage, with the general election on November 3 unlikely to shift absent major developments. Late-campaign national waves, a primary surprise producing a weaker nominee, or unforeseen scandals could still narrow the gap in this Oakland County seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$56,329 交易量
$56,329 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
96%
共和党
1%
$56,329 交易量
$56,329 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$44,047 交易量
96%
共和党
$12,283 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+9 Partisan Voter Index and multiple "Solid Democratic" ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at over 95%. Incumbent Haley Stevens' retirement to pursue a Senate seat has drawn a competitive Democratic primary field led by state Sen. Jeremy Moss ahead of the August 4 contest, while the Republican side features limited visibility with Mayor Ethan Baker as the main entrant. Recent polling and fundraising patterns show no erosion of the structural advantage, with the general election on November 3 unlikely to shift absent major developments. Late-campaign national waves, a primary surprise producing a weaker nominee, or unforeseen scandals could still narrow the gap in this Oakland County seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$56,329结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+9 Partisan Voter Index and multiple "Solid Democratic" ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at over 95%. Incumbent Haley Stevens' retirement to pursue a Senate seat has drawn a competitive Democratic primary field led by state Sen. Jeremy Moss ahead of the August 4 contest, while the Republican side features limited visibility with Mayor Ethan Baker as the main entrant. Recent polling and fundraising patterns show no erosion of the structural advantage, with the general election on November 3 unlikely to shift absent major developments. Late-campaign national waves, a primary surprise producing a weaker nominee, or unforeseen scandals could still narrow the gap in this Oakland County seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$56,329结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+9 Partisan Voter Index and multiple "Solid Democratic" ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at over 95%. Incumbent Haley Stevens' retirement to pursue a Senate seat has drawn a competitive Democratic primary field led by state Sen. Jeremy Moss ahead of the August 4 contest, while the Republican side features limited visibility with Mayor Ethan Baker as the main entrant. Recent polling and fundraising patterns show no erosion of the structural advantage, with the general election on November 3 unlikely to shift absent major developments. Late-campaign national waves, a primary surprise producing a weaker nominee, or unforeseen scandals could still narrow the gap in this Oakland County seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题