Michigan's 11th congressional district, encompassing suburban Oakland County communities such as Farmington Hills, Troy, and Pontiac, maintains a strong Democratic lean that underpins trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the 2026 general election. Haley Stevens's retirement to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat, yet the August 4 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee in state Senator Jeremy Moss, who outperformed rivals including Aisha Farooqi. Cook Political Report ratings classify the race as solidly Democratic, reflecting the party's consistent performance in recent cycles and limited Republican infrastructure. Ethan Baker, the Republican nominee and Troy mayor, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic registration and turnout advantages have historically prevailed. Late developments such as national economic shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though current pricing embeds limited probability for such reversals before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$71,074 交易量
$71,074 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
3%
$71,074 交易量
$71,074 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$49,052 交易量
94%
共和党
$22,022 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 11th congressional district, encompassing suburban Oakland County communities such as Farmington Hills, Troy, and Pontiac, maintains a strong Democratic lean that underpins trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the 2026 general election. Haley Stevens's retirement to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat, yet the August 4 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee in state Senator Jeremy Moss, who outperformed rivals including Aisha Farooqi. Cook Political Report ratings classify the race as solidly Democratic, reflecting the party's consistent performance in recent cycles and limited Republican infrastructure. Ethan Baker, the Republican nominee and Troy mayor, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic registration and turnout advantages have historically prevailed. Late developments such as national economic shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though current pricing embeds limited probability for such reversals before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$71,074结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 11th congressional district, encompassing suburban Oakland County communities such as Farmington Hills, Troy, and Pontiac, maintains a strong Democratic lean that underpins trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the 2026 general election. Haley Stevens's retirement to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat, yet the August 4 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee in state Senator Jeremy Moss, who outperformed rivals including Aisha Farooqi. Cook Political Report ratings classify the race as solidly Democratic, reflecting the party's consistent performance in recent cycles and limited Republican infrastructure. Ethan Baker, the Republican nominee and Troy mayor, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic registration and turnout advantages have historically prevailed. Late developments such as national economic shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though current pricing embeds limited probability for such reversals before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$71,074结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 11th congressional district, encompassing suburban Oakland County communities such as Farmington Hills, Troy, and Pontiac, maintains a strong Democratic lean that underpins trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the 2026 general election. Haley Stevens's retirement to pursue a U.S. Senate bid created an open seat, yet the August 4 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee in state Senator Jeremy Moss, who outperformed rivals including Aisha Farooqi. Cook Political Report ratings classify the race as solidly Democratic, reflecting the party's consistent performance in recent cycles and limited Republican infrastructure. Ethan Baker, the Republican nominee and Troy mayor, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic registration and turnout advantages have historically prevailed. Late developments such as national economic shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though current pricing embeds limited probability for such reversals before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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