Incumbent Democrat Rashida Tlaib secured her party's nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with roughly 74% of the vote against two challengers, positioning her as the clear general election favorite in Michigan's 12th congressional district. The district's strong Democratic tilt—reflected in partisan voting indices around D+21—combined with Tlaib's multiple prior victories and the limited profile of Republican nominee James Hooper have driven trader consensus toward a Democratic hold near 94.5%. The general election on November 3 remains the key upcoming milestone. A significant late development, such as a major scandal or unexpected turnout surge in Republican-leaning pockets of Oakland and Wayne counties, could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns in this solidly Democratic seat suggest limited realistic paths for an upset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$33,410 交易量
$33,410 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
5%
$33,410 交易量
$33,410 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$21,161 交易量
95%
共和党
$12,249 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Rashida Tlaib secured her party's nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with roughly 74% of the vote against two challengers, positioning her as the clear general election favorite in Michigan's 12th congressional district. The district's strong Democratic tilt—reflected in partisan voting indices around D+21—combined with Tlaib's multiple prior victories and the limited profile of Republican nominee James Hooper have driven trader consensus toward a Democratic hold near 94.5%. The general election on November 3 remains the key upcoming milestone. A significant late development, such as a major scandal or unexpected turnout surge in Republican-leaning pockets of Oakland and Wayne counties, could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns in this solidly Democratic seat suggest limited realistic paths for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$33,410结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Rashida Tlaib secured her party's nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with roughly 74% of the vote against two challengers, positioning her as the clear general election favorite in Michigan's 12th congressional district. The district's strong Democratic tilt—reflected in partisan voting indices around D+21—combined with Tlaib's multiple prior victories and the limited profile of Republican nominee James Hooper have driven trader consensus toward a Democratic hold near 94.5%. The general election on November 3 remains the key upcoming milestone. A significant late development, such as a major scandal or unexpected turnout surge in Republican-leaning pockets of Oakland and Wayne counties, could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns in this solidly Democratic seat suggest limited realistic paths for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$33,410结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Rashida Tlaib secured her party's nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with roughly 74% of the vote against two challengers, positioning her as the clear general election favorite in Michigan's 12th congressional district. The district's strong Democratic tilt—reflected in partisan voting indices around D+21—combined with Tlaib's multiple prior victories and the limited profile of Republican nominee James Hooper have driven trader consensus toward a Democratic hold near 94.5%. The general election on November 3 remains the key upcoming milestone. A significant late development, such as a major scandal or unexpected turnout surge in Republican-leaning pockets of Oakland and Wayne counties, could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns in this solidly Democratic seat suggest limited realistic paths for an upset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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