Michigan's 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent results in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 2024 general election victory by nearly 40 points. Incumbent Rashida Tlaib faces primary challengers ahead of the August 4, 2026, Democratic primary, but the district's voter base in Wayne and Oakland counties has historically delivered large margins for Democratic nominees. Republicans have fielded limited opposition for the November 3 general election. The wide trader consensus on a Democratic win stems from these structural factors and low likelihood of an upset in a district with such established partisan patterns. A major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political realignment would be required to meaningfully alter the general election outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$28,890 交易量
$28,890 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$28,890 交易量
$28,890 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$17,714 交易量
94%
共和党
$11,175 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent results in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 2024 general election victory by nearly 40 points. Incumbent Rashida Tlaib faces primary challengers ahead of the August 4, 2026, Democratic primary, but the district's voter base in Wayne and Oakland counties has historically delivered large margins for Democratic nominees. Republicans have fielded limited opposition for the November 3 general election. The wide trader consensus on a Democratic win stems from these structural factors and low likelihood of an upset in a district with such established partisan patterns. A major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political realignment would be required to meaningfully alter the general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$28,890结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent results in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 2024 general election victory by nearly 40 points. Incumbent Rashida Tlaib faces primary challengers ahead of the August 4, 2026, Democratic primary, but the district's voter base in Wayne and Oakland counties has historically delivered large margins for Democratic nominees. Republicans have fielded limited opposition for the November 3 general election. The wide trader consensus on a Democratic win stems from these structural factors and low likelihood of an upset in a district with such established partisan patterns. A major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political realignment would be required to meaningfully alter the general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$28,890结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent results in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 2024 general election victory by nearly 40 points. Incumbent Rashida Tlaib faces primary challengers ahead of the August 4, 2026, Democratic primary, but the district's voter base in Wayne and Oakland counties has historically delivered large margins for Democratic nominees. Republicans have fielded limited opposition for the November 3 general election. The wide trader consensus on a Democratic win stems from these structural factors and low likelihood of an upset in a district with such established partisan patterns. A major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political realignment would be required to meaningfully alter the general election outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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