Michigan's 6th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Debbie Dingell, first elected in 2014 and re-elected with 62% in 2024, faces limited opposition after filing for the August 2026 primary; the Republican side features only Heather Smiley at this stage. These structural factors, combined with the district's concentration in Democratic-leaning Washtenaw County and western Wayne County, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5%. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen primary disruption, a major scandal, or an unusually strong Republican recruitment wave that overcomes the district's baseline partisan math ahead of the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$28,102 交易量
$28,102 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
$28,102 交易量
$28,102 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$16,833 交易量
94%
共和党
$11,269 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 6th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Debbie Dingell, first elected in 2014 and re-elected with 62% in 2024, faces limited opposition after filing for the August 2026 primary; the Republican side features only Heather Smiley at this stage. These structural factors, combined with the district's concentration in Democratic-leaning Washtenaw County and western Wayne County, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5%. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen primary disruption, a major scandal, or an unusually strong Republican recruitment wave that overcomes the district's baseline partisan math ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$28,102结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 6th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Debbie Dingell, first elected in 2014 and re-elected with 62% in 2024, faces limited opposition after filing for the August 2026 primary; the Republican side features only Heather Smiley at this stage. These structural factors, combined with the district's concentration in Democratic-leaning Washtenaw County and western Wayne County, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5%. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen primary disruption, a major scandal, or an unusually strong Republican recruitment wave that overcomes the district's baseline partisan math ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$28,102结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 6th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Debbie Dingell, first elected in 2014 and re-elected with 62% in 2024, faces limited opposition after filing for the August 2026 primary; the Republican side features only Heather Smiley at this stage. These structural factors, combined with the district's concentration in Democratic-leaning Washtenaw County and western Wayne County, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5%. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen primary disruption, a major scandal, or an unusually strong Republican recruitment wave that overcomes the district's baseline partisan math ahead of the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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