Michigan's 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+12, placing it well outside competitive range for Republicans based on recent presidential results. Incumbent Democrat Debbie Dingell, who has held the seat since 2015, faces no serious primary opposition ahead of the August 2026 primaries and benefits from entrenched name recognition in the southeastern Michigan district. Nonpartisan raters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% Democratic probability. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national midterm swing or an unforeseen local disruption such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent. Absent those developments, structural partisan advantages and the absence of viable challengers continue to anchor expectations through the November 2026 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$28,102 交易量
$28,102 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
$28,102 交易量
$28,102 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$16,833 交易量
94%
共和党
$11,269 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+12, placing it well outside competitive range for Republicans based on recent presidential results. Incumbent Democrat Debbie Dingell, who has held the seat since 2015, faces no serious primary opposition ahead of the August 2026 primaries and benefits from entrenched name recognition in the southeastern Michigan district. Nonpartisan raters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% Democratic probability. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national midterm swing or an unforeseen local disruption such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent. Absent those developments, structural partisan advantages and the absence of viable challengers continue to anchor expectations through the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$28,102结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+12, placing it well outside competitive range for Republicans based on recent presidential results. Incumbent Democrat Debbie Dingell, who has held the seat since 2015, faces no serious primary opposition ahead of the August 2026 primaries and benefits from entrenched name recognition in the southeastern Michigan district. Nonpartisan raters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% Democratic probability. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national midterm swing or an unforeseen local disruption such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent. Absent those developments, structural partisan advantages and the absence of viable challengers continue to anchor expectations through the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$28,102结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+12, placing it well outside competitive range for Republicans based on recent presidential results. Incumbent Democrat Debbie Dingell, who has held the seat since 2015, faces no serious primary opposition ahead of the August 2026 primaries and benefits from entrenched name recognition in the southeastern Michigan district. Nonpartisan raters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% Democratic probability. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national midterm swing or an unforeseen local disruption such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent. Absent those developments, structural partisan advantages and the absence of viable challengers continue to anchor expectations through the November 2026 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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