Incumbent Democrat Debbie Dingell seeks re-election in Michigan's 6th district, which encompasses Ann Arbor, Washtenaw County, and portions of Wayne County. The seat's partisan lean and Dingell's consistent performance—62% in the prior cycle—underpin trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. Primaries on August 4, 2026, feature limited Republican opposition, with Heather Smiley as the apparent nominee and no signs of a competitive primary or general-election surge. District voting patterns, fundraising gaps, and the absence of major redistricting or national-wave indicators further reinforce the current implied probability. Late developments such as candidate health issues, ethics controversies, or an unprecedented midterm shift could still alter the trajectory before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$28,102 交易量
$28,102 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
$28,102 交易量
$28,102 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$16,833 交易量
94%
共和党
$11,269 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Debbie Dingell seeks re-election in Michigan's 6th district, which encompasses Ann Arbor, Washtenaw County, and portions of Wayne County. The seat's partisan lean and Dingell's consistent performance—62% in the prior cycle—underpin trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. Primaries on August 4, 2026, feature limited Republican opposition, with Heather Smiley as the apparent nominee and no signs of a competitive primary or general-election surge. District voting patterns, fundraising gaps, and the absence of major redistricting or national-wave indicators further reinforce the current implied probability. Late developments such as candidate health issues, ethics controversies, or an unprecedented midterm shift could still alter the trajectory before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$28,102结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Debbie Dingell seeks re-election in Michigan's 6th district, which encompasses Ann Arbor, Washtenaw County, and portions of Wayne County. The seat's partisan lean and Dingell's consistent performance—62% in the prior cycle—underpin trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. Primaries on August 4, 2026, feature limited Republican opposition, with Heather Smiley as the apparent nominee and no signs of a competitive primary or general-election surge. District voting patterns, fundraising gaps, and the absence of major redistricting or national-wave indicators further reinforce the current implied probability. Late developments such as candidate health issues, ethics controversies, or an unprecedented midterm shift could still alter the trajectory before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$28,102结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Debbie Dingell seeks re-election in Michigan's 6th district, which encompasses Ann Arbor, Washtenaw County, and portions of Wayne County. The seat's partisan lean and Dingell's consistent performance—62% in the prior cycle—underpin trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. Primaries on August 4, 2026, feature limited Republican opposition, with Heather Smiley as the apparent nominee and no signs of a competitive primary or general-election surge. District voting patterns, fundraising gaps, and the absence of major redistricting or national-wave indicators further reinforce the current implied probability. Late developments such as candidate health issues, ethics controversies, or an unprecedented midterm shift could still alter the trajectory before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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