The Democratic candidate holds a strong lead in the PA-08 House race due to vulnerabilities surrounding Republican incumbent Rob Bresnahan, whose first-term tenure since 2025 has drawn scrutiny over stock trading disclosures that provide Democrats with a consistent line of attack. The district, centered in northeastern Pennsylvania and encompassing Scranton, flipped narrowly Republican in 2024 by under 1 point and carries a Cook Political Report rating that leaves it competitive. Democratic challenger Paige Cognetti, the sitting mayor with prior federal and state experience, benefits from name recognition and local profile in a midterm environment. With primaries concluded in May 2026 and the general election set for November 3, trader pricing reflects these structural and candidate-specific dynamics over broader national trends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
71%
共和党
24%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$3,567 交易量
71%
共和党
$2,040 交易量
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic candidate holds a strong lead in the PA-08 House race due to vulnerabilities surrounding Republican incumbent Rob Bresnahan, whose first-term tenure since 2025 has drawn scrutiny over stock trading disclosures that provide Democrats with a consistent line of attack. The district, centered in northeastern Pennsylvania and encompassing Scranton, flipped narrowly Republican in 2024 by under 1 point and carries a Cook Political Report rating that leaves it competitive. Democratic challenger Paige Cognetti, the sitting mayor with prior federal and state experience, benefits from name recognition and local profile in a midterm environment. With primaries concluded in May 2026 and the general election set for November 3, trader pricing reflects these structural and candidate-specific dynamics over broader national trends.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
交易量
$5,607结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic candidate holds a strong lead in the PA-08 House race due to vulnerabilities surrounding Republican incumbent Rob Bresnahan, whose first-term tenure since 2025 has drawn scrutiny over stock trading disclosures that provide Democrats with a consistent line of attack. The district, centered in northeastern Pennsylvania and encompassing Scranton, flipped narrowly Republican in 2024 by under 1 point and carries a Cook Political Report rating that leaves it competitive. Democratic challenger Paige Cognetti, the sitting mayor with prior federal and state experience, benefits from name recognition and local profile in a midterm environment. With primaries concluded in May 2026 and the general election set for November 3, trader pricing reflects these structural and candidate-specific dynamics over broader national trends.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$5,607结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic candidate holds a strong lead in the PA-08 House race due to vulnerabilities surrounding Republican incumbent Rob Bresnahan, whose first-term tenure since 2025 has drawn scrutiny over stock trading disclosures that provide Democrats with a consistent line of attack. The district, centered in northeastern Pennsylvania and encompassing Scranton, flipped narrowly Republican in 2024 by under 1 point and carries a Cook Political Report rating that leaves it competitive. Democratic challenger Paige Cognetti, the sitting mayor with prior federal and state experience, benefits from name recognition and local profile in a midterm environment. With primaries concluded in May 2026 and the general election set for November 3, trader pricing reflects these structural and candidate-specific dynamics over broader national trends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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