Missouri’s 8th congressional district has long favored Republican candidates, reflected in the incumbent Jason Smith’s 76 percent victory in 2024 and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Smith faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest, while Democratic primary entrants have raised negligible funds and lack statewide name recognition. The district’s rural, conservative voter base and absence of competitive polling or recent scandals reinforce trader consensus around a Republican general-election win in November 2026. Late developments such as an unusually strong Democratic nominee or national wave could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$30,479 交易量
$30,479 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
$30,479 交易量
$30,479 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$20,263 交易量
94%
民主党
$10,215 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 8th congressional district has long favored Republican candidates, reflected in the incumbent Jason Smith’s 76 percent victory in 2024 and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Smith faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest, while Democratic primary entrants have raised negligible funds and lack statewide name recognition. The district’s rural, conservative voter base and absence of competitive polling or recent scandals reinforce trader consensus around a Republican general-election win in November 2026. Late developments such as an unusually strong Democratic nominee or national wave could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$30,479结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 8th congressional district has long favored Republican candidates, reflected in the incumbent Jason Smith’s 76 percent victory in 2024 and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Smith faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest, while Democratic primary entrants have raised negligible funds and lack statewide name recognition. The district’s rural, conservative voter base and absence of competitive polling or recent scandals reinforce trader consensus around a Republican general-election win in November 2026. Late developments such as an unusually strong Democratic nominee or national wave could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$30,479结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri’s 8th congressional district has long favored Republican candidates, reflected in the incumbent Jason Smith’s 76 percent victory in 2024 and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Smith faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest, while Democratic primary entrants have raised negligible funds and lack statewide name recognition. The district’s rural, conservative voter base and absence of competitive polling or recent scandals reinforce trader consensus around a Republican general-election win in November 2026. Late developments such as an unusually strong Democratic nominee or national wave could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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