Michael Alfonso holds an 81.5% implied probability in the Wisconsin 7th District Republican primary on August 11, 2026, driven by his Trump endorsement, over $1.2 million in cycle fundraising, and support from sitting House Republicans. These factors have consolidated trader consensus around his path to the nomination ahead of lesser-known challengers including Kevin Hermening, Niina Baum, Jessi Ebben, and Don Raihala, who trail significantly in visibility and resources. With the primary just days away, recent campaign activity such as new ads and farm outreach further reinforces Alfonso’s positioning in the final stretch of the contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Michael Alfonso 83%
Kevin Hermening 13%
Jessi Ebben 4.1%
Niina Baum 3.6%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
Michael Alfonso
83%
Kevin Hermening
13%
Jessi Ebben
4%
Niina Baum
4%
Don Raihala
1%
Michael Alfonso 83%
Kevin Hermening 13%
Jessi Ebben 4.1%
Niina Baum 3.6%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
Michael Alfonso
$5,502 交易量
83%
Kevin Hermening
$551 交易量
13%
Jessi Ebben
$488 交易量
4%
Niina Baum
$259 交易量
4%
Don Raihala
$384 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Michael Alfonso holds an 81.5% implied probability in the Wisconsin 7th District Republican primary on August 11, 2026, driven by his Trump endorsement, over $1.2 million in cycle fundraising, and support from sitting House Republicans. These factors have consolidated trader consensus around his path to the nomination ahead of lesser-known challengers including Kevin Hermening, Niina Baum, Jessi Ebben, and Don Raihala, who trail significantly in visibility and resources. With the primary just days away, recent campaign activity such as new ads and farm outreach further reinforces Alfonso’s positioning in the final stretch of the contest.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Jul 20, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
交易量
$7,184结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Jul 20, 2026, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Michael Alfonso holds an 81.5% implied probability in the Wisconsin 7th District Republican primary on August 11, 2026, driven by his Trump endorsement, over $1.2 million in cycle fundraising, and support from sitting House Republicans. These factors have consolidated trader consensus around his path to the nomination ahead of lesser-known challengers including Kevin Hermening, Niina Baum, Jessi Ebben, and Don Raihala, who trail significantly in visibility and resources. With the primary just days away, recent campaign activity such as new ads and farm outreach further reinforces Alfonso’s positioning in the final stretch of the contest.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$7,184结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Jul 20, 2026, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Michael Alfonso holds an 81.5% implied probability in the Wisconsin 7th District Republican primary on August 11, 2026, driven by his Trump endorsement, over $1.2 million in cycle fundraising, and support from sitting House Republicans. These factors have consolidated trader consensus around his path to the nomination ahead of lesser-known challengers including Kevin Hermening, Niina Baum, Jessi Ebben, and Don Raihala, who trail significantly in visibility and resources. With the primary just days away, recent campaign activity such as new ads and farm outreach further reinforces Alfonso’s positioning in the final stretch of the contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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