Tom Tiffany’s commanding 95% implied probability in the Wisconsin Republican primary for governor stems primarily from his January 2026 endorsement by President Donald Trump and the subsequent state party endorsement, which consolidated support among party leaders and donors. As the sitting U.S. representative for the 7th district with prior state legislative experience, Tiffany benefits from high name recognition and a largely cleared field after multiple potential rivals, including Josh Schoemann and Eric Hovde, withdrew or declined to run. Only Andy Manske remains on the August 11 ballot as a long-shot challenger. The August primary timeline leaves limited room for late developments such as unexpected health events or major scandals to shift trader consensus before voters decide.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于汤姆·蒂芬尼 98.7%
Josh Schoemann <1%
埃里克·霍夫德 <1%
蒂姆·米歇尔斯 <1%
$91,320 交易量
$91,320 交易量
汤姆·蒂芬尼
99%
Josh Schoemann
<1%
埃里克·霍夫德
<1%
蒂姆·米歇尔斯
<1%
肖恩·达菲
<1%
丽贝卡·克里菲什
<1%
汤米·汤普森
<1%
安迪·曼斯基
<1%
汤姆·蒂芬尼 98.7%
Josh Schoemann <1%
埃里克·霍夫德 <1%
蒂姆·米歇尔斯 <1%
$91,320 交易量
$91,320 交易量
汤姆·蒂芬尼
99%
Josh Schoemann
<1%
埃里克·霍夫德
<1%
蒂姆·米歇尔斯
<1%
肖恩·达菲
<1%
丽贝卡·克里菲什
<1%
汤米·汤普森
<1%
安迪·曼斯基
<1%
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市场开放时间： Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tom Tiffany’s commanding 95% implied probability in the Wisconsin Republican primary for governor stems primarily from his January 2026 endorsement by President Donald Trump and the subsequent state party endorsement, which consolidated support among party leaders and donors. As the sitting U.S. representative for the 7th district with prior state legislative experience, Tiffany benefits from high name recognition and a largely cleared field after multiple potential rivals, including Josh Schoemann and Eric Hovde, withdrew or declined to run. Only Andy Manske remains on the August 11 ballot as a long-shot challenger. The August primary timeline leaves limited room for late developments such as unexpected health events or major scandals to shift trader consensus before voters decide.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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