Joe Strada leads the August 18, 2026 Republican primary for Florida’s 11th Congressional District at 63% in trader consensus, ahead of Carey Baker at 20.5% and Tim Wilkins at 6.5%. Strada’s positioning stems from his late-June campaign launch to succeed retiring Representative Dan Webster, combined with $5 million in self-funding, endorsements from House Majority Leader Steve Scalise and multiple state legislators, and saturation mail and advertising as a Trump-aligned businessman. Baker, a former state legislator and local property appraiser, retains support through established name recognition in the district. Lower-priced candidates trail due to limited fundraising and visibility in a race defined by financial resources and recent elite backing rather than broad polling data.