The open seat created by longtime Republican incumbent Sam Graves’ March 2026 retirement has not altered the district’s entrenched partisan tilt, with the 6th encompassing rural northern Missouri and parts of the Kansas City metro north of the Missouri River. Multiple Republican primary contenders, including radio host Chris Stigall and others, are competing ahead of the August 4 primary, while Democratic options remain limited. The seat’s consistent Republican performance in prior cycles and its strong rightward lean have produced the current trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee in November. A major late primary scandal or unexpected national shift could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such outcomes unlikely.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$29,858 交易量
$29,858 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
93%
民主党
7%
$29,858 交易量
$29,858 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$23,619 交易量
93%
民主党
$6,239 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by longtime Republican incumbent Sam Graves’ March 2026 retirement has not altered the district’s entrenched partisan tilt, with the 6th encompassing rural northern Missouri and parts of the Kansas City metro north of the Missouri River. Multiple Republican primary contenders, including radio host Chris Stigall and others, are competing ahead of the August 4 primary, while Democratic options remain limited. The seat’s consistent Republican performance in prior cycles and its strong rightward lean have produced the current trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee in November. A major late primary scandal or unexpected national shift could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such outcomes unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$29,858结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by longtime Republican incumbent Sam Graves’ March 2026 retirement has not altered the district’s entrenched partisan tilt, with the 6th encompassing rural northern Missouri and parts of the Kansas City metro north of the Missouri River. Multiple Republican primary contenders, including radio host Chris Stigall and others, are competing ahead of the August 4 primary, while Democratic options remain limited. The seat’s consistent Republican performance in prior cycles and its strong rightward lean have produced the current trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee in November. A major late primary scandal or unexpected national shift could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such outcomes unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$29,858结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat created by longtime Republican incumbent Sam Graves’ March 2026 retirement has not altered the district’s entrenched partisan tilt, with the 6th encompassing rural northern Missouri and parts of the Kansas City metro north of the Missouri River. Multiple Republican primary contenders, including radio host Chris Stigall and others, are competing ahead of the August 4 primary, while Democratic options remain limited. The seat’s consistent Republican performance in prior cycles and its strong rightward lean have produced the current trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee in November. A major late primary scandal or unexpected national shift could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such outcomes unlikely.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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