The district's entrenched Republican tilt, reflected in its Partisan Voting Index and consistent strong performance in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 92.5%. Longtime incumbent Sam Graves's retirement opened the seat for the first time in over two decades, prompting a crowded Republican primary on August 4 with candidates including Chris Stigall, who received Graves's endorsement, while Democrats field a smaller slate ahead of the November 3 general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Republican. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unusually competitive primary producing a weaker nominee, unusually low Republican turnout, or a national political shift altering local dynamics, though the structural advantages make such outcomes low-probability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$29,268 交易量
$29,268 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
93%
民主党
8%
$29,268 交易量
$29,268 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$23,619 交易量
93%
民主党
$5,649 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's entrenched Republican tilt, reflected in its Partisan Voting Index and consistent strong performance in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 92.5%. Longtime incumbent Sam Graves's retirement opened the seat for the first time in over two decades, prompting a crowded Republican primary on August 4 with candidates including Chris Stigall, who received Graves's endorsement, while Democrats field a smaller slate ahead of the November 3 general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Republican. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unusually competitive primary producing a weaker nominee, unusually low Republican turnout, or a national political shift altering local dynamics, though the structural advantages make such outcomes low-probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$29,268结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's entrenched Republican tilt, reflected in its Partisan Voting Index and consistent strong performance in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 92.5%. Longtime incumbent Sam Graves's retirement opened the seat for the first time in over two decades, prompting a crowded Republican primary on August 4 with candidates including Chris Stigall, who received Graves's endorsement, while Democrats field a smaller slate ahead of the November 3 general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Republican. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unusually competitive primary producing a weaker nominee, unusually low Republican turnout, or a national political shift altering local dynamics, though the structural advantages make such outcomes low-probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$29,268结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's entrenched Republican tilt, reflected in its Partisan Voting Index and consistent strong performance in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 92.5%. Longtime incumbent Sam Graves's retirement opened the seat for the first time in over two decades, prompting a crowded Republican primary on August 4 with candidates including Chris Stigall, who received Graves's endorsement, while Democrats field a smaller slate ahead of the November 3 general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Republican. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unusually competitive primary producing a weaker nominee, unusually low Republican turnout, or a national political shift altering local dynamics, though the structural advantages make such outcomes low-probability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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