Missouri’s 6th congressional district maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid R” or “Safe R” ratings from forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election. The retirement of longtime incumbent Sam Graves opened the seat, but Republican nominee Chris Stigall secured the August 4 primary and benefits from endorsements by Graves and Senator Eric Schmitt, while Democrat Josh Smead emerged from a lower-turnout primary. Traders assign the Republican Party a 94.5% implied probability because the district’s voting patterns and structural advantages have historically produced large GOP margins, even in open-seat contests. A late national Democratic surge, unusually strong suburban turnout in recently added Northland areas, or a significant candidate-specific development could narrow the gap, though no such shifts have materialized in available reporting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$43,095 交易量
$43,095 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
95%
民主党
6%
$43,095 交易量
$43,095 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
$27,455 交易量
95%
民主党
$15,640 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 6th congressional district maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid R” or “Safe R” ratings from forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election. The retirement of longtime incumbent Sam Graves opened the seat, but Republican nominee Chris Stigall secured the August 4 primary and benefits from endorsements by Graves and Senator Eric Schmitt, while Democrat Josh Smead emerged from a lower-turnout primary. Traders assign the Republican Party a 94.5% implied probability because the district’s voting patterns and structural advantages have historically produced large GOP margins, even in open-seat contests. A late national Democratic surge, unusually strong suburban turnout in recently added Northland areas, or a significant candidate-specific development could narrow the gap, though no such shifts have materialized in available reporting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$43,095结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 6th congressional district maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid R” or “Safe R” ratings from forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election. The retirement of longtime incumbent Sam Graves opened the seat, but Republican nominee Chris Stigall secured the August 4 primary and benefits from endorsements by Graves and Senator Eric Schmitt, while Democrat Josh Smead emerged from a lower-turnout primary. Traders assign the Republican Party a 94.5% implied probability because the district’s voting patterns and structural advantages have historically produced large GOP margins, even in open-seat contests. A late national Democratic surge, unusually strong suburban turnout in recently added Northland areas, or a significant candidate-specific development could narrow the gap, though no such shifts have materialized in available reporting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$43,095结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETMissouri’s 6th congressional district maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid R” or “Safe R” ratings from forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election. The retirement of longtime incumbent Sam Graves opened the seat, but Republican nominee Chris Stigall secured the August 4 primary and benefits from endorsements by Graves and Senator Eric Schmitt, while Democrat Josh Smead emerged from a lower-turnout primary. Traders assign the Republican Party a 94.5% implied probability because the district’s voting patterns and structural advantages have historically produced large GOP margins, even in open-seat contests. A late national Democratic surge, unusually strong suburban turnout in recently added Northland areas, or a significant candidate-specific development could narrow the gap, though no such shifts have materialized in available reporting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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