Incumbent Lance Gooden holds a commanding position in the Texas 5th congressional district race, driven by the district's consistent Republican lean, his established incumbency since 2019, and unopposed advancement through the March 2026 Republican primary. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican based on prior election margins, including Gooden's 2024 performance and presidential voting patterns favoring the party. Hockett, the Democratic nominee who prevailed in a May runoff, faces substantial disadvantages in name recognition and fundraising. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, with limited polling or campaign activity suggesting shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late-breaking controversies, major national political realignments, or unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban areas, though such developments remain uncommon in this district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$32,412 交易量
$32,412 交易量
2026-11-02
兰斯·古登（共和党）
92%
切尔西·霍克特（民主党）
8%
$32,412 交易量
$32,412 交易量
2026-11-02
兰斯·古登（共和党）
$11,524 交易量
92%
切尔西·霍克特（民主党）
$20,888 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Lance Gooden holds a commanding position in the Texas 5th congressional district race, driven by the district's consistent Republican lean, his established incumbency since 2019, and unopposed advancement through the March 2026 Republican primary. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican based on prior election margins, including Gooden's 2024 performance and presidential voting patterns favoring the party. Hockett, the Democratic nominee who prevailed in a May runoff, faces substantial disadvantages in name recognition and fundraising. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, with limited polling or campaign activity suggesting shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late-breaking controversies, major national political realignments, or unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban areas, though such developments remain uncommon in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$32,412结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Lance Gooden holds a commanding position in the Texas 5th congressional district race, driven by the district's consistent Republican lean, his established incumbency since 2019, and unopposed advancement through the March 2026 Republican primary. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican based on prior election margins, including Gooden's 2024 performance and presidential voting patterns favoring the party. Hockett, the Democratic nominee who prevailed in a May runoff, faces substantial disadvantages in name recognition and fundraising. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, with limited polling or campaign activity suggesting shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late-breaking controversies, major national political realignments, or unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban areas, though such developments remain uncommon in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$32,412结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETIncumbent Lance Gooden holds a commanding position in the Texas 5th congressional district race, driven by the district's consistent Republican lean, his established incumbency since 2019, and unopposed advancement through the March 2026 Republican primary. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican based on prior election margins, including Gooden's 2024 performance and presidential voting patterns favoring the party. Hockett, the Democratic nominee who prevailed in a May runoff, faces substantial disadvantages in name recognition and fundraising. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, with limited polling or campaign activity suggesting shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late-breaking controversies, major national political realignments, or unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban areas, though such developments remain uncommon in this district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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