Incumbent Rick Larsen’s long tenure and the district’s consistent Democratic lean drive the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in Washington’s 2nd Congressional District. Recent top-two primary results advanced Larsen against Republican Edwin Feller, reinforcing the matchup in a seat where Kamala Harris carried the district by 8.5 points in 2024 and nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Limited polling and fundraising gaps further entrench the position ahead of the November general election. While late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or sharp national partisan swing could theoretically narrow the gap, the structural advantages and primary outcomes make significant shifts unlikely in the current environment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$17,895 交易量
$17,895 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$17,895 交易量
$17,895 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
$11,575 交易量
94%
共和党
$6,321 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rick Larsen’s long tenure and the district’s consistent Democratic lean drive the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in Washington’s 2nd Congressional District. Recent top-two primary results advanced Larsen against Republican Edwin Feller, reinforcing the matchup in a seat where Kamala Harris carried the district by 8.5 points in 2024 and nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Limited polling and fundraising gaps further entrench the position ahead of the November general election. While late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or sharp national partisan swing could theoretically narrow the gap, the structural advantages and primary outcomes make significant shifts unlikely in the current environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$17,895结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rick Larsen’s long tenure and the district’s consistent Democratic lean drive the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in Washington’s 2nd Congressional District. Recent top-two primary results advanced Larsen against Republican Edwin Feller, reinforcing the matchup in a seat where Kamala Harris carried the district by 8.5 points in 2024 and nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Limited polling and fundraising gaps further entrench the position ahead of the November general election. While late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or sharp national partisan swing could theoretically narrow the gap, the structural advantages and primary outcomes make significant shifts unlikely in the current environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$17,895结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rick Larsen’s long tenure and the district’s consistent Democratic lean drive the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in Washington’s 2nd Congressional District. Recent top-two primary results advanced Larsen against Republican Edwin Feller, reinforcing the matchup in a seat where Kamala Harris carried the district by 8.5 points in 2024 and nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Limited polling and fundraising gaps further entrench the position ahead of the November general election. While late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or sharp national partisan swing could theoretically narrow the gap, the structural advantages and primary outcomes make significant shifts unlikely in the current environment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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