Republican incumbent Michael Baumgartner holds a strong position in Washington's 5th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat's R+5 partisan voting index and the district's consistent support for Republican candidates in recent cycles. Baumgartner, who succeeded retiring Rep. Cathy McMorris Rodgers after winning the 2024 election by a wide margin, advanced easily through the August 4, 2026 primary. A May 2026 poll showed him leading Democratic nominee Carmela Conroy by six points in a head-to-head matchup. The Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these structural and recent electoral factors while leaving room for shifts from national conditions or turnout patterns before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$35,283 交易量
$35,283 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
79%
民主党
19%
$35,283 交易量
$35,283 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$14,312 交易量
79%
民主党
$20,971 交易量
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Michael Baumgartner holds a strong position in Washington's 5th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat's R+5 partisan voting index and the district's consistent support for Republican candidates in recent cycles. Baumgartner, who succeeded retiring Rep. Cathy McMorris Rodgers after winning the 2024 election by a wide margin, advanced easily through the August 4, 2026 primary. A May 2026 poll showed him leading Democratic nominee Carmela Conroy by six points in a head-to-head matchup. The Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these structural and recent electoral factors while leaving room for shifts from national conditions or turnout patterns before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$35,283结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Michael Baumgartner holds a strong position in Washington's 5th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat's R+5 partisan voting index and the district's consistent support for Republican candidates in recent cycles. Baumgartner, who succeeded retiring Rep. Cathy McMorris Rodgers after winning the 2024 election by a wide margin, advanced easily through the August 4, 2026 primary. A May 2026 poll showed him leading Democratic nominee Carmela Conroy by six points in a head-to-head matchup. The Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these structural and recent electoral factors while leaving room for shifts from national conditions or turnout patterns before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$35,283结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Michael Baumgartner holds a strong position in Washington's 5th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat's R+5 partisan voting index and the district's consistent support for Republican candidates in recent cycles. Baumgartner, who succeeded retiring Rep. Cathy McMorris Rodgers after winning the 2024 election by a wide margin, advanced easily through the August 4, 2026 primary. A May 2026 poll showed him leading Democratic nominee Carmela Conroy by six points in a head-to-head matchup. The Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these structural and recent electoral factors while leaving room for shifts from national conditions or turnout patterns before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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