Virginia's 9th congressional district, encompassing rural southwest areas including Abingdon, Bristol, and parts of the Appalachian region, maintains a strong Republican tilt reflected in its R+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index. Incumbent GOP Representative Morgan Griffith, first elected in 2010 and re-elected with over 72% in 2024, faces limited opposition ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, with all major forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic contenders remain in an August 4 primary with modest fundraising, while Griffith's established incumbency and district voting patterns underpin the 92% trader consensus on a Republican win. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though structural factors limit realistic paths to an upset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$45,565 交易量
$45,565 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
92%
民主党
7%
$45,565 交易量
$45,565 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$33,525 交易量
92%
民主党
$12,040 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 9th congressional district, encompassing rural southwest areas including Abingdon, Bristol, and parts of the Appalachian region, maintains a strong Republican tilt reflected in its R+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index. Incumbent GOP Representative Morgan Griffith, first elected in 2010 and re-elected with over 72% in 2024, faces limited opposition ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, with all major forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic contenders remain in an August 4 primary with modest fundraising, while Griffith's established incumbency and district voting patterns underpin the 92% trader consensus on a Republican win. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though structural factors limit realistic paths to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$45,565结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 9th congressional district, encompassing rural southwest areas including Abingdon, Bristol, and parts of the Appalachian region, maintains a strong Republican tilt reflected in its R+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index. Incumbent GOP Representative Morgan Griffith, first elected in 2010 and re-elected with over 72% in 2024, faces limited opposition ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, with all major forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic contenders remain in an August 4 primary with modest fundraising, while Griffith's established incumbency and district voting patterns underpin the 92% trader consensus on a Republican win. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though structural factors limit realistic paths to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$45,565结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 9th congressional district, encompassing rural southwest areas including Abingdon, Bristol, and parts of the Appalachian region, maintains a strong Republican tilt reflected in its R+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index. Incumbent GOP Representative Morgan Griffith, first elected in 2010 and re-elected with over 72% in 2024, faces limited opposition ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, with all major forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic contenders remain in an August 4 primary with modest fundraising, while Griffith's established incumbency and district voting patterns underpin the 92% trader consensus on a Republican win. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though structural factors limit realistic paths to an upset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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