Incumbent Democratic Representative Lauren Underwood secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary for Illinois's 14th congressional district and faces Republican nominee James Marter in the November general election. The district, encompassing western Chicago exurbs including parts of Aurora, Naperville, and Joliet, has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles, with Underwood winning reelection by double-digit margins in 2024. Traders price the Democratic outcome at 94.5 percent, reflecting the seat's structural lean, Underwood's established incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition, and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive balance. A narrow set of scenarios, such as an unforeseen national partisan wave, late-breaking candidate-specific issues, or unusual turnout shifts among suburban voters, could theoretically narrow the margin, though current conditions point to limited volatility through election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
96%
共和党
3%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$2,948 交易量
96%
共和党
$6,259 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Lauren Underwood secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary for Illinois's 14th congressional district and faces Republican nominee James Marter in the November general election. The district, encompassing western Chicago exurbs including parts of Aurora, Naperville, and Joliet, has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles, with Underwood winning reelection by double-digit margins in 2024. Traders price the Democratic outcome at 94.5 percent, reflecting the seat's structural lean, Underwood's established incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition, and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive balance. A narrow set of scenarios, such as an unforeseen national partisan wave, late-breaking candidate-specific issues, or unusual turnout shifts among suburban voters, could theoretically narrow the margin, though current conditions point to limited volatility through election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$9,207结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Lauren Underwood secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary for Illinois's 14th congressional district and faces Republican nominee James Marter in the November general election. The district, encompassing western Chicago exurbs including parts of Aurora, Naperville, and Joliet, has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles, with Underwood winning reelection by double-digit margins in 2024. Traders price the Democratic outcome at 94.5 percent, reflecting the seat's structural lean, Underwood's established incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition, and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive balance. A narrow set of scenarios, such as an unforeseen national partisan wave, late-breaking candidate-specific issues, or unusual turnout shifts among suburban voters, could theoretically narrow the margin, though current conditions point to limited volatility through election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,207结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Lauren Underwood secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary for Illinois's 14th congressional district and faces Republican nominee James Marter in the November general election. The district, encompassing western Chicago exurbs including parts of Aurora, Naperville, and Joliet, has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles, with Underwood winning reelection by double-digit margins in 2024. Traders price the Democratic outcome at 94.5 percent, reflecting the seat's structural lean, Underwood's established incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition, and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive balance. A narrow set of scenarios, such as an unforeseen national partisan wave, late-breaking candidate-specific issues, or unusual turnout shifts among suburban voters, could theoretically narrow the margin, though current conditions point to limited volatility through election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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