Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood holds a commanding position in Illinois’s 14th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in the 93.9% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. The district’s Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3, combined with Underwood’s established incumbency since 2019 and consistent fundraising edge, underpins the strong implied probability. Republican nominee James Marter advanced from the March 2026 primary but faces structural headwinds in a suburban Chicago exurban seat that has trended Democratic in recent cycles. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid D or Safe D, consistent with limited general-election competitiveness statewide. A late national Republican surge, unusually low Democratic turnout, or unforeseen candidate developments could narrow the gap, though current evidence shows few indicators of such a shift before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$3,376 交易量
94%
共和党
$6,340 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood holds a commanding position in Illinois’s 14th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in the 93.9% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. The district’s Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3, combined with Underwood’s established incumbency since 2019 and consistent fundraising edge, underpins the strong implied probability. Republican nominee James Marter advanced from the March 2026 primary but faces structural headwinds in a suburban Chicago exurban seat that has trended Democratic in recent cycles. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid D or Safe D, consistent with limited general-election competitiveness statewide. A late national Republican surge, unusually low Democratic turnout, or unforeseen candidate developments could narrow the gap, though current evidence shows few indicators of such a shift before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$9,717结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood holds a commanding position in Illinois’s 14th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in the 93.9% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. The district’s Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3, combined with Underwood’s established incumbency since 2019 and consistent fundraising edge, underpins the strong implied probability. Republican nominee James Marter advanced from the March 2026 primary but faces structural headwinds in a suburban Chicago exurban seat that has trended Democratic in recent cycles. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid D or Safe D, consistent with limited general-election competitiveness statewide. A late national Republican surge, unusually low Democratic turnout, or unforeseen candidate developments could narrow the gap, though current evidence shows few indicators of such a shift before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,717结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood holds a commanding position in Illinois’s 14th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in the 93.9% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. The district’s Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3, combined with Underwood’s established incumbency since 2019 and consistent fundraising edge, underpins the strong implied probability. Republican nominee James Marter advanced from the March 2026 primary but faces structural headwinds in a suburban Chicago exurban seat that has trended Democratic in recent cycles. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid D or Safe D, consistent with limited general-election competitiveness statewide. A late national Republican surge, unusually low Democratic turnout, or unforeseen candidate developments could narrow the gap, though current evidence shows few indicators of such a shift before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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