Incumbent Republican Mike Bost holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 12th congressional district race due to the seat's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+22 Partisan Voter Index based on recent presidential results. Bost secured the nomination with overwhelming primary support, while Democrat Julie Fortier advanced unopposed on her side. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's voting history and limited Democratic competitiveness. Trader consensus pricing this outcome near 95 percent reflects these structural advantages. A late scandal, major health event, or unusually strong Democratic national environment could still alter the result before the November 3, 2026, general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$18,824 交易量
$18,824 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
96%
民主党
5%
$18,824 交易量
$18,824 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$8,119 交易量
96%
民主党
$10,705 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Bost holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 12th congressional district race due to the seat's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+22 Partisan Voter Index based on recent presidential results. Bost secured the nomination with overwhelming primary support, while Democrat Julie Fortier advanced unopposed on her side. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's voting history and limited Democratic competitiveness. Trader consensus pricing this outcome near 95 percent reflects these structural advantages. A late scandal, major health event, or unusually strong Democratic national environment could still alter the result before the November 3, 2026, general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$18,824结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Bost holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 12th congressional district race due to the seat's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+22 Partisan Voter Index based on recent presidential results. Bost secured the nomination with overwhelming primary support, while Democrat Julie Fortier advanced unopposed on her side. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's voting history and limited Democratic competitiveness. Trader consensus pricing this outcome near 95 percent reflects these structural advantages. A late scandal, major health event, or unusually strong Democratic national environment could still alter the result before the November 3, 2026, general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$18,824结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Bost holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 12th congressional district race due to the seat's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+22 Partisan Voter Index based on recent presidential results. Bost secured the nomination with overwhelming primary support, while Democrat Julie Fortier advanced unopposed on her side. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's voting history and limited Democratic competitiveness. Trader consensus pricing this outcome near 95 percent reflects these structural advantages. A late scandal, major health event, or unusually strong Democratic national environment could still alter the result before the November 3, 2026, general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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