The Illinois 11th congressional district’s strong Democratic tilt and Bill Foster’s incumbency underpin the lopsided trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The seat, encompassing western Chicago suburbs and exurbs, carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index in the D+6 range and has consistently delivered double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Foster, first elected in a 2008 special election and re-elected multiple times including with 55.6% in 2024, faced no primary opposition after primaries concluded on March 17, 2026. Republican nominee Jeffrey Walter emerged from a competitive but low-visibility GOP primary without the resources or name recognition to close the structural gap. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic. Late developments that could narrow the margin remain limited to a major scandal, health event affecting Foster, or an unusually large national Republican midterm wave capable of overcoming the district’s baseline partisan composition.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$12,020 交易量
$12,020 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
$12,020 交易量
$12,020 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$3,884 交易量
93%
共和党
$8,137 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 11th congressional district’s strong Democratic tilt and Bill Foster’s incumbency underpin the lopsided trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The seat, encompassing western Chicago suburbs and exurbs, carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index in the D+6 range and has consistently delivered double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Foster, first elected in a 2008 special election and re-elected multiple times including with 55.6% in 2024, faced no primary opposition after primaries concluded on March 17, 2026. Republican nominee Jeffrey Walter emerged from a competitive but low-visibility GOP primary without the resources or name recognition to close the structural gap. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic. Late developments that could narrow the margin remain limited to a major scandal, health event affecting Foster, or an unusually large national Republican midterm wave capable of overcoming the district’s baseline partisan composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$12,020结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 11th congressional district’s strong Democratic tilt and Bill Foster’s incumbency underpin the lopsided trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The seat, encompassing western Chicago suburbs and exurbs, carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index in the D+6 range and has consistently delivered double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Foster, first elected in a 2008 special election and re-elected multiple times including with 55.6% in 2024, faced no primary opposition after primaries concluded on March 17, 2026. Republican nominee Jeffrey Walter emerged from a competitive but low-visibility GOP primary without the resources or name recognition to close the structural gap. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic. Late developments that could narrow the margin remain limited to a major scandal, health event affecting Foster, or an unusually large national Republican midterm wave capable of overcoming the district’s baseline partisan composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$12,020结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 11th congressional district’s strong Democratic tilt and Bill Foster’s incumbency underpin the lopsided trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The seat, encompassing western Chicago suburbs and exurbs, carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index in the D+6 range and has consistently delivered double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Foster, first elected in a 2008 special election and re-elected multiple times including with 55.6% in 2024, faced no primary opposition after primaries concluded on March 17, 2026. Republican nominee Jeffrey Walter emerged from a competitive but low-visibility GOP primary without the resources or name recognition to close the structural gap. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic. Late developments that could narrow the margin remain limited to a major scandal, health event affecting Foster, or an unusually large national Republican midterm wave capable of overcoming the district’s baseline partisan composition.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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