Florida's 11th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican advantage rooted in its partisan voting index and voting history, with the seat rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Daniel Webster's retirement opened the race, yet this has not altered the underlying dynamics ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election. Recent candidate filings following the June 12 deadline show limited Democratic activity in a district that favored Republicans by double digits in the prior cycle. Trader pricing aligns with these structural factors and historical base rates for similar open seats in Florida, where shifts would require unusual turnout swings or unforeseen developments before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$18,925 交易量
$18,925 交易量
共和党
83%
民主党
14%
$18,925 交易量
$18,925 交易量
共和党
83%
民主党
14%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 11th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican advantage rooted in its partisan voting index and voting history, with the seat rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Daniel Webster's retirement opened the race, yet this has not altered the underlying dynamics ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election. Recent candidate filings following the June 12 deadline show limited Democratic activity in a district that favored Republicans by double digits in the prior cycle. Trader pricing aligns with these structural factors and historical base rates for similar open seats in Florida, where shifts would require unusual turnout swings or unforeseen developments before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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