Florida's 11th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the 2026 cycle, with the open race following incumbent Daniel Webster's retirement driving trader consensus toward a GOP hold. The district's voting patterns, reflected in Webster's 60%+ margins in recent cycles under the current map, position Republicans as the clear frontrunners despite the primary contest featuring multiple declared candidates. Democratic contenders face structural headwinds in a district expected to deliver a substantial Republican edge in the general election on November 3. Recent candidate filings ahead of the June 12 deadline and the August 18 primaries have not altered this outlook, as the seat's partisan composition and historical results continue to anchor market probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$18,873 交易量
$18,873 交易量
共和党
83%
民主党
14%
$18,873 交易量
$18,873 交易量
共和党
83%
民主党
14%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 11th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the 2026 cycle, with the open race following incumbent Daniel Webster's retirement driving trader consensus toward a GOP hold. The district's voting patterns, reflected in Webster's 60%+ margins in recent cycles under the current map, position Republicans as the clear frontrunners despite the primary contest featuring multiple declared candidates. Democratic contenders face structural headwinds in a district expected to deliver a substantial Republican edge in the general election on November 3. Recent candidate filings ahead of the June 12 deadline and the August 18 primaries have not altered this outlook, as the seat's partisan composition and historical results continue to anchor market probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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