Florida's 11th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat in the 2026 House elections despite the retirement of longtime incumbent Daniel Webster. Nonpartisan analysts rate the open race as Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district's partisan voting index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles across central Florida areas including The Villages. Multiple Republican primary candidates have filed ahead of the August 18 contests, backed by significantly higher fundraising totals than Democratic contenders. With primaries still months away and no major shifts in voter registration or turnout patterns, trader consensus assigns the Republican Party an 82.5% implied probability of winning the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$18,873 交易量
$18,873 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
83%
民主党
14%
$18,873 交易量
$18,873 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$7,523 交易量
83%
民主党
$11,350 交易量
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 11th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat in the 2026 House elections despite the retirement of longtime incumbent Daniel Webster. Nonpartisan analysts rate the open race as Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district's partisan voting index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles across central Florida areas including The Villages. Multiple Republican primary candidates have filed ahead of the August 18 contests, backed by significantly higher fundraising totals than Democratic contenders. With primaries still months away and no major shifts in voter registration or turnout patterns, trader consensus assigns the Republican Party an 82.5% implied probability of winning the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
交易量
$18,873结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 11th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat in the 2026 House elections despite the retirement of longtime incumbent Daniel Webster. Nonpartisan analysts rate the open race as Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district's partisan voting index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles across central Florida areas including The Villages. Multiple Republican primary candidates have filed ahead of the August 18 contests, backed by significantly higher fundraising totals than Democratic contenders. With primaries still months away and no major shifts in voter registration or turnout patterns, trader consensus assigns the Republican Party an 82.5% implied probability of winning the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$18,873结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 11th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat in the 2026 House elections despite the retirement of longtime incumbent Daniel Webster. Nonpartisan analysts rate the open race as Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district's partisan voting index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles across central Florida areas including The Villages. Multiple Republican primary candidates have filed ahead of the August 18 contests, backed by significantly higher fundraising totals than Democratic contenders. With primaries still months away and no major shifts in voter registration or turnout patterns, trader consensus assigns the Republican Party an 82.5% implied probability of winning the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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