Florida's 11th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the retirement of longtime incumbent Daniel Webster and the implementation of new state legislative maps that reinforce the party's structural advantage across most of the state's 28 districts. Multiple nonpartisan rating outlets classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election. The district's partisan voting index and historical results continue to favor GOP nominees, limiting Democratic prospects despite several candidates filing for the primary. Trader consensus reflected in current prices aligns with these fundamentals, as no late-cycle polling or candidate developments have altered the competitive baseline. Upcoming primary outcomes and any shifts in national midterm dynamics within the resolution window represent the primary variables that could still influence final positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$18,873 交易量
$18,873 交易量
共和党
83%
民主党
14%
$18,873 交易量
$18,873 交易量
共和党
83%
民主党
14%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 11th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the retirement of longtime incumbent Daniel Webster and the implementation of new state legislative maps that reinforce the party's structural advantage across most of the state's 28 districts. Multiple nonpartisan rating outlets classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election. The district's partisan voting index and historical results continue to favor GOP nominees, limiting Democratic prospects despite several candidates filing for the primary. Trader consensus reflected in current prices aligns with these fundamentals, as no late-cycle polling or candidate developments have altered the competitive baseline. Upcoming primary outcomes and any shifts in national midterm dynamics within the resolution window represent the primary variables that could still influence final positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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