Texas's 11th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its Solid Republican rating and history of lopsided GOP margins in recent cycles. Incumbent August Pfluger secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Claire Reynolds advanced from a contested primary to face him in the November general election. The district's voter base, concentrated in rural and conservative West Texas areas, supports high turnout advantages for Republican candidates on issues such as energy policy and border security. Trader consensus at 93 percent for the Republican outcome aligns with these structural factors. A national Democratic wave, significant Pfluger-specific controversy, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district based on prior election data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$24,922 交易量
$24,922 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
93%
民主党
7%
$24,922 交易量
$24,922 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$6,676 交易量
93%
民主党
$18,246 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 11th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its Solid Republican rating and history of lopsided GOP margins in recent cycles. Incumbent August Pfluger secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Claire Reynolds advanced from a contested primary to face him in the November general election. The district's voter base, concentrated in rural and conservative West Texas areas, supports high turnout advantages for Republican candidates on issues such as energy policy and border security. Trader consensus at 93 percent for the Republican outcome aligns with these structural factors. A national Democratic wave, significant Pfluger-specific controversy, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district based on prior election data.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$24,922结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 11th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its Solid Republican rating and history of lopsided GOP margins in recent cycles. Incumbent August Pfluger secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Claire Reynolds advanced from a contested primary to face him in the November general election. The district's voter base, concentrated in rural and conservative West Texas areas, supports high turnout advantages for Republican candidates on issues such as energy policy and border security. Trader consensus at 93 percent for the Republican outcome aligns with these structural factors. A national Democratic wave, significant Pfluger-specific controversy, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district based on prior election data.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$24,922结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 11th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its Solid Republican rating and history of lopsided GOP margins in recent cycles. Incumbent August Pfluger secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Claire Reynolds advanced from a contested primary to face him in the November general election. The district's voter base, concentrated in rural and conservative West Texas areas, supports high turnout advantages for Republican candidates on issues such as energy policy and border security. Trader consensus at 93 percent for the Republican outcome aligns with these structural factors. A national Democratic wave, significant Pfluger-specific controversy, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district based on prior election data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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