Republican Craig Goldman, the incumbent first elected in 2024, secured the nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary and faces Democratic nominee Heli Rodriguez Prilliman in the November general election. The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in recent presidential margins exceeding 18 points and nonpartisan ratings classifying it as Solid or Safe Republican, underpins trader consensus around an 81% implied probability for the GOP. Limited Democratic fundraising and organizational presence in this Fort Worth-area seat, combined with Texas's broader partisan trends, have kept the race from shifting meaningfully since primaries concluded. No major developments in the past month have altered the competitive landscape, though general election turnout patterns and any late-cycle national shifts could still influence final margins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
81%
民主党
15%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$6,864 交易量
81%
民主党
$2,241 交易量
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Craig Goldman, the incumbent first elected in 2024, secured the nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary and faces Democratic nominee Heli Rodriguez Prilliman in the November general election. The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in recent presidential margins exceeding 18 points and nonpartisan ratings classifying it as Solid or Safe Republican, underpins trader consensus around an 81% implied probability for the GOP. Limited Democratic fundraising and organizational presence in this Fort Worth-area seat, combined with Texas's broader partisan trends, have kept the race from shifting meaningfully since primaries concluded. No major developments in the past month have altered the competitive landscape, though general election turnout patterns and any late-cycle national shifts could still influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$9,105结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Craig Goldman, the incumbent first elected in 2024, secured the nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary and faces Democratic nominee Heli Rodriguez Prilliman in the November general election. The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in recent presidential margins exceeding 18 points and nonpartisan ratings classifying it as Solid or Safe Republican, underpins trader consensus around an 81% implied probability for the GOP. Limited Democratic fundraising and organizational presence in this Fort Worth-area seat, combined with Texas's broader partisan trends, have kept the race from shifting meaningfully since primaries concluded. No major developments in the past month have altered the competitive landscape, though general election turnout patterns and any late-cycle national shifts could still influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,105结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Craig Goldman, the incumbent first elected in 2024, secured the nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary and faces Democratic nominee Heli Rodriguez Prilliman in the November general election. The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in recent presidential margins exceeding 18 points and nonpartisan ratings classifying it as Solid or Safe Republican, underpins trader consensus around an 81% implied probability for the GOP. Limited Democratic fundraising and organizational presence in this Fort Worth-area seat, combined with Texas's broader partisan trends, have kept the race from shifting meaningfully since primaries concluded. No major developments in the past month have altered the competitive landscape, though general election turnout patterns and any late-cycle national shifts could still influence final margins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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