Florida's 12th congressional district features a Republican incumbent in a seat rated Solid or Likely Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The district's partisan voting index favors Republicans by roughly seven points, and the new map would have supported the 2024 Republican presidential nominee by double digits. Incumbent Gus Bilirakis won reelection with 71 percent in the prior cycle and maintains a substantial fundraising edge. Democratic primary contenders face an August 18 contest with limited resources and no polling evidence of a viable general-election path. These structural and historical factors underpin trader consensus around an 80 percent probability for the Republican nominee.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$28,836 交易量
$28,836 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
81%
民主党
19%
$28,836 交易量
$28,836 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$11,623 交易量
81%
民主党
$17,213 交易量
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 12th congressional district features a Republican incumbent in a seat rated Solid or Likely Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The district's partisan voting index favors Republicans by roughly seven points, and the new map would have supported the 2024 Republican presidential nominee by double digits. Incumbent Gus Bilirakis won reelection with 71 percent in the prior cycle and maintains a substantial fundraising edge. Democratic primary contenders face an August 18 contest with limited resources and no polling evidence of a viable general-election path. These structural and historical factors underpin trader consensus around an 80 percent probability for the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
交易量
$28,836结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 12th congressional district features a Republican incumbent in a seat rated Solid or Likely Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The district's partisan voting index favors Republicans by roughly seven points, and the new map would have supported the 2024 Republican presidential nominee by double digits. Incumbent Gus Bilirakis won reelection with 71 percent in the prior cycle and maintains a substantial fundraising edge. Democratic primary contenders face an August 18 contest with limited resources and no polling evidence of a viable general-election path. These structural and historical factors underpin trader consensus around an 80 percent probability for the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$28,836结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 12th congressional district features a Republican incumbent in a seat rated Solid or Likely Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The district's partisan voting index favors Republicans by roughly seven points, and the new map would have supported the 2024 Republican presidential nominee by double digits. Incumbent Gus Bilirakis won reelection with 71 percent in the prior cycle and maintains a substantial fundraising edge. Democratic primary contenders face an August 18 contest with limited resources and no polling evidence of a viable general-election path. These structural and historical factors underpin trader consensus around an 80 percent probability for the Republican nominee.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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