Florida's 12th congressional district features incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis seeking re-election under a new state map that increases the area's Republican lean, with the 2024 presidential baseline showing a double-digit Trump margin. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican due to the district's partisan voting index and Bilirakis's established fundraising edge exceeding $1 million. Democratic primary contenders Darren McAuley and Kimberly Overman remain early in their campaigns with comparatively modest resources, limiting immediate competitive pressure. Trader consensus on an 80.5% Republican outcome reflects these structural advantages and the absence of major recent shifts in candidate field or polling that would alter the baseline outlook ahead of the August primaries.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$28,836 交易量
$28,836 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
81%
民主党
19%
$28,836 交易量
$28,836 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$11,623 交易量
81%
民主党
$17,213 交易量
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 12th congressional district features incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis seeking re-election under a new state map that increases the area's Republican lean, with the 2024 presidential baseline showing a double-digit Trump margin. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican due to the district's partisan voting index and Bilirakis's established fundraising edge exceeding $1 million. Democratic primary contenders Darren McAuley and Kimberly Overman remain early in their campaigns with comparatively modest resources, limiting immediate competitive pressure. Trader consensus on an 80.5% Republican outcome reflects these structural advantages and the absence of major recent shifts in candidate field or polling that would alter the baseline outlook ahead of the August primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
交易量
$28,836结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 12th congressional district features incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis seeking re-election under a new state map that increases the area's Republican lean, with the 2024 presidential baseline showing a double-digit Trump margin. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican due to the district's partisan voting index and Bilirakis's established fundraising edge exceeding $1 million. Democratic primary contenders Darren McAuley and Kimberly Overman remain early in their campaigns with comparatively modest resources, limiting immediate competitive pressure. Trader consensus on an 80.5% Republican outcome reflects these structural advantages and the absence of major recent shifts in candidate field or polling that would alter the baseline outlook ahead of the August primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$28,836结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 12th congressional district features incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis seeking re-election under a new state map that increases the area's Republican lean, with the 2024 presidential baseline showing a double-digit Trump margin. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican due to the district's partisan voting index and Bilirakis's established fundraising edge exceeding $1 million. Democratic primary contenders Darren McAuley and Kimberly Overman remain early in their campaigns with comparatively modest resources, limiting immediate competitive pressure. Trader consensus on an 80.5% Republican outcome reflects these structural advantages and the absence of major recent shifts in candidate field or polling that would alter the baseline outlook ahead of the August primaries.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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