Rhode Island’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and the incumbent Democrat Gabe Amo’s 63 percent victory in 2024. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 92.5 percent implied probability of victory because no Republican candidate has emerged with significant fundraising or name recognition ahead of the June 2026 filing deadline and September primaries. Historical base rates for similar solidly Democratic seats reinforce this positioning. A realistic shift in odds would require an unexpected development such as a major scandal affecting the incumbent, a pronounced national partisan swing, or an unusually strong Republican recruit entering the race before the general election on November 3, 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$3,518 交易量
93%
共和党
$1,059 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rhode Island’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and the incumbent Democrat Gabe Amo’s 63 percent victory in 2024. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 92.5 percent implied probability of victory because no Republican candidate has emerged with significant fundraising or name recognition ahead of the June 2026 filing deadline and September primaries. Historical base rates for similar solidly Democratic seats reinforce this positioning. A realistic shift in odds would require an unexpected development such as a major scandal affecting the incumbent, a pronounced national partisan swing, or an unusually strong Republican recruit entering the race before the general election on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$4,577结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rhode Island’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and the incumbent Democrat Gabe Amo’s 63 percent victory in 2024. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 92.5 percent implied probability of victory because no Republican candidate has emerged with significant fundraising or name recognition ahead of the June 2026 filing deadline and September primaries. Historical base rates for similar solidly Democratic seats reinforce this positioning. A realistic shift in odds would require an unexpected development such as a major scandal affecting the incumbent, a pronounced national partisan swing, or an unusually strong Republican recruit entering the race before the general election on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$4,577结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rhode Island’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and the incumbent Democrat Gabe Amo’s 63 percent victory in 2024. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 92.5 percent implied probability of victory because no Republican candidate has emerged with significant fundraising or name recognition ahead of the June 2026 filing deadline and September primaries. Historical base rates for similar solidly Democratic seats reinforce this positioning. A realistic shift in odds would require an unexpected development such as a major scandal affecting the incumbent, a pronounced national partisan swing, or an unusually strong Republican recruit entering the race before the general election on November 3, 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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