Incumbent Gabe Amo holds a commanding position in the Rhode Island 1st congressional district race due to the area's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in his 63 percent victory margin in 2024 and the district's D+12 partisan voting index. Both major-party candidates advanced unopposed through the September 9 primaries, with no significant primary challenges or late developments altering the landscape ahead of the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Democratic, underscoring Amo's incumbency advantages, fundraising edge, and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Amo aligns with these fundamentals. A narrow path for Kellie Keenan would require substantial shifts such as an unforeseen national political realignment, major scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout that overcomes the district's structural barriers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$40,868 交易量
$40,868 交易量
2026-11-03
加布·阿莫（民主党）
95%
凯莉·基南（共和党）
5%
$40,868 交易量
$40,868 交易量
2026-11-03
加布·阿莫（民主党）
$10,790 交易量
95%
凯莉·基南（共和党）
$30,079 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Gabe Amo holds a commanding position in the Rhode Island 1st congressional district race due to the area's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in his 63 percent victory margin in 2024 and the district's D+12 partisan voting index. Both major-party candidates advanced unopposed through the September 9 primaries, with no significant primary challenges or late developments altering the landscape ahead of the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Democratic, underscoring Amo's incumbency advantages, fundraising edge, and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Amo aligns with these fundamentals. A narrow path for Kellie Keenan would require substantial shifts such as an unforeseen national political realignment, major scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout that overcomes the district's structural barriers.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$40,868结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Gabe Amo holds a commanding position in the Rhode Island 1st congressional district race due to the area's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in his 63 percent victory margin in 2024 and the district's D+12 partisan voting index. Both major-party candidates advanced unopposed through the September 9 primaries, with no significant primary challenges or late developments altering the landscape ahead of the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Democratic, underscoring Amo's incumbency advantages, fundraising edge, and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Amo aligns with these fundamentals. A narrow path for Kellie Keenan would require substantial shifts such as an unforeseen national political realignment, major scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout that overcomes the district's structural barriers.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$40,868结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETIncumbent Gabe Amo holds a commanding position in the Rhode Island 1st congressional district race due to the area's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in his 63 percent victory margin in 2024 and the district's D+12 partisan voting index. Both major-party candidates advanced unopposed through the September 9 primaries, with no significant primary challenges or late developments altering the landscape ahead of the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Democratic, underscoring Amo's incumbency advantages, fundraising edge, and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Amo aligns with these fundamentals. A narrow path for Kellie Keenan would require substantial shifts such as an unforeseen national political realignment, major scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout that overcomes the district's structural barriers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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