Tennessee's 5th congressional district, redrawn in May 2026, features a partisan voting index favoring Republicans by roughly 10 points. The August 6 Republican primary produced a key shift when former state Agriculture Commissioner Charlie Hatcher defeated incumbent Rep. Andy Ogles, viewed by many as a polarizing figure. Hatcher now faces Democratic nominee Chaz Molder, the Columbia mayor, in the November general election. Cook Political Report rates the seat Likely Republican, reflecting the district's structural lean, Hatcher's stronger profile as a statewide officeholder with establishment support, and limited evidence of Democratic competitiveness in recent polling or fundraising data. These elements underpin trader consensus on the Republican outcome while leaving room for late-cycle developments such as turnout shifts or national political events to influence the final margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$52,468 交易量
$52,468 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
86%
民主党
13%
$52,468 交易量
$52,468 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$26,441 交易量
86%
民主党
$26,026 交易量
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 5th congressional district, redrawn in May 2026, features a partisan voting index favoring Republicans by roughly 10 points. The August 6 Republican primary produced a key shift when former state Agriculture Commissioner Charlie Hatcher defeated incumbent Rep. Andy Ogles, viewed by many as a polarizing figure. Hatcher now faces Democratic nominee Chaz Molder, the Columbia mayor, in the November general election. Cook Political Report rates the seat Likely Republican, reflecting the district's structural lean, Hatcher's stronger profile as a statewide officeholder with establishment support, and limited evidence of Democratic competitiveness in recent polling or fundraising data. These elements underpin trader consensus on the Republican outcome while leaving room for late-cycle developments such as turnout shifts or national political events to influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$52,468结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 5th congressional district, redrawn in May 2026, features a partisan voting index favoring Republicans by roughly 10 points. The August 6 Republican primary produced a key shift when former state Agriculture Commissioner Charlie Hatcher defeated incumbent Rep. Andy Ogles, viewed by many as a polarizing figure. Hatcher now faces Democratic nominee Chaz Molder, the Columbia mayor, in the November general election. Cook Political Report rates the seat Likely Republican, reflecting the district's structural lean, Hatcher's stronger profile as a statewide officeholder with establishment support, and limited evidence of Democratic competitiveness in recent polling or fundraising data. These elements underpin trader consensus on the Republican outcome while leaving room for late-cycle developments such as turnout shifts or national political events to influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$52,468结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 5th congressional district, redrawn in May 2026, features a partisan voting index favoring Republicans by roughly 10 points. The August 6 Republican primary produced a key shift when former state Agriculture Commissioner Charlie Hatcher defeated incumbent Rep. Andy Ogles, viewed by many as a polarizing figure. Hatcher now faces Democratic nominee Chaz Molder, the Columbia mayor, in the November general election. Cook Political Report rates the seat Likely Republican, reflecting the district's structural lean, Hatcher's stronger profile as a statewide officeholder with establishment support, and limited evidence of Democratic competitiveness in recent polling or fundraising data. These elements underpin trader consensus on the Republican outcome while leaving room for late-cycle developments such as turnout shifts or national political events to influence the final margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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