Tennessee's 6th congressional district maintains a strong Republican partisan lean rooted in its rural and suburban voter demographics, consistent past election margins, and alignment with state-level conservative trends. Traders have priced this structural advantage into the current consensus, viewing a Republican hold as the baseline outcome ahead of the 2026 midterm cycle. Incumbent advantages and low Democratic registration further support the positioning. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major candidate-specific scandal, an unexpected national political shift favoring Democrats, or unusually elevated opposition turnout in key counties, though historical patterns indicate these factors rarely overcome the district's established lean.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$12,393 交易量
$12,393 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
94%
民主党
7%
$12,393 交易量
$12,393 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$8,446 交易量
94%
民主党
$3,947 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 6th congressional district maintains a strong Republican partisan lean rooted in its rural and suburban voter demographics, consistent past election margins, and alignment with state-level conservative trends. Traders have priced this structural advantage into the current consensus, viewing a Republican hold as the baseline outcome ahead of the 2026 midterm cycle. Incumbent advantages and low Democratic registration further support the positioning. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major candidate-specific scandal, an unexpected national political shift favoring Democrats, or unusually elevated opposition turnout in key counties, though historical patterns indicate these factors rarely overcome the district's established lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$12,393结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 6th congressional district maintains a strong Republican partisan lean rooted in its rural and suburban voter demographics, consistent past election margins, and alignment with state-level conservative trends. Traders have priced this structural advantage into the current consensus, viewing a Republican hold as the baseline outcome ahead of the 2026 midterm cycle. Incumbent advantages and low Democratic registration further support the positioning. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major candidate-specific scandal, an unexpected national political shift favoring Democrats, or unusually elevated opposition turnout in key counties, though historical patterns indicate these factors rarely overcome the district's established lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$12,393结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 6th congressional district maintains a strong Republican partisan lean rooted in its rural and suburban voter demographics, consistent past election margins, and alignment with state-level conservative trends. Traders have priced this structural advantage into the current consensus, viewing a Republican hold as the baseline outcome ahead of the 2026 midterm cycle. Incumbent advantages and low Democratic registration further support the positioning. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major candidate-specific scandal, an unexpected national political shift favoring Democrats, or unusually elevated opposition turnout in key counties, though historical patterns indicate these factors rarely overcome the district's established lean.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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