Vermont's at-large House seat remains a strong Democratic hold due to the state's consistent partisan leanings, with no Republican victory since 1988 and a Cook Political Report rating of Solid D. Incumbent Becca Balint, seeking a third term after winning reelection by more than 30 points in 2024, holds commanding leads in recent University of New Hampshire polling, often exceeding 55 percent against Republican nominee Gerald Malloy. Malloy secured the GOP nomination in the August 11 primary, but the district's D+17 partisan voting index and Balint's incumbency advantages sustain trader consensus around 94.5 percent Democratic probability. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as a significant national political realignment, major scandal, or sharp changes in voter turnout patterns within the November 2026 resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$27,898 交易量
$27,898 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$27,898 交易量
$27,898 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$8,650 交易量
95%
共和党
$19,248 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Vermont's at-large House seat remains a strong Democratic hold due to the state's consistent partisan leanings, with no Republican victory since 1988 and a Cook Political Report rating of Solid D. Incumbent Becca Balint, seeking a third term after winning reelection by more than 30 points in 2024, holds commanding leads in recent University of New Hampshire polling, often exceeding 55 percent against Republican nominee Gerald Malloy. Malloy secured the GOP nomination in the August 11 primary, but the district's D+17 partisan voting index and Balint's incumbency advantages sustain trader consensus around 94.5 percent Democratic probability. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as a significant national political realignment, major scandal, or sharp changes in voter turnout patterns within the November 2026 resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$27,898结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Vermont's at-large House seat remains a strong Democratic hold due to the state's consistent partisan leanings, with no Republican victory since 1988 and a Cook Political Report rating of Solid D. Incumbent Becca Balint, seeking a third term after winning reelection by more than 30 points in 2024, holds commanding leads in recent University of New Hampshire polling, often exceeding 55 percent against Republican nominee Gerald Malloy. Malloy secured the GOP nomination in the August 11 primary, but the district's D+17 partisan voting index and Balint's incumbency advantages sustain trader consensus around 94.5 percent Democratic probability. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as a significant national political realignment, major scandal, or sharp changes in voter turnout patterns within the November 2026 resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$27,898结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vermont's at-large House seat remains a strong Democratic hold due to the state's consistent partisan leanings, with no Republican victory since 1988 and a Cook Political Report rating of Solid D. Incumbent Becca Balint, seeking a third term after winning reelection by more than 30 points in 2024, holds commanding leads in recent University of New Hampshire polling, often exceeding 55 percent against Republican nominee Gerald Malloy. Malloy secured the GOP nomination in the August 11 primary, but the district's D+17 partisan voting index and Balint's incumbency advantages sustain trader consensus around 94.5 percent Democratic probability. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as a significant national political realignment, major scandal, or sharp changes in voter turnout patterns within the November 2026 resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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