Texas's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 to R+11 Partisan Voter Index and recent presidential margins exceeding 17 points for the GOP. Incumbent Representative Keith Self secured renomination comfortably, while Democrat Evan Hunt advanced unopposed, and all major forecasters rate the November 3, 2026 general election as Solid or Safe Republican. Fundraising and small-donor patterns also favor the incumbent. Trader consensus at 92.5% Republican probability aligns with these structural factors, including the district's suburban Dallas-Fort Worth composition across Collin and Hunt counties. A Democratic upset would require an unusually large national midterm swing or unforeseen local disruption, such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, given the consistent historical baseline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$32,617 交易量
$32,617 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
93%
民主党
9%
$32,617 交易量
$32,617 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
$22,982 交易量
93%
民主党
$9,635 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 to R+11 Partisan Voter Index and recent presidential margins exceeding 17 points for the GOP. Incumbent Representative Keith Self secured renomination comfortably, while Democrat Evan Hunt advanced unopposed, and all major forecasters rate the November 3, 2026 general election as Solid or Safe Republican. Fundraising and small-donor patterns also favor the incumbent. Trader consensus at 92.5% Republican probability aligns with these structural factors, including the district's suburban Dallas-Fort Worth composition across Collin and Hunt counties. A Democratic upset would require an unusually large national midterm swing or unforeseen local disruption, such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, given the consistent historical baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$32,617结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 to R+11 Partisan Voter Index and recent presidential margins exceeding 17 points for the GOP. Incumbent Representative Keith Self secured renomination comfortably, while Democrat Evan Hunt advanced unopposed, and all major forecasters rate the November 3, 2026 general election as Solid or Safe Republican. Fundraising and small-donor patterns also favor the incumbent. Trader consensus at 92.5% Republican probability aligns with these structural factors, including the district's suburban Dallas-Fort Worth composition across Collin and Hunt counties. A Democratic upset would require an unusually large national midterm swing or unforeseen local disruption, such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, given the consistent historical baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$32,617结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETTexas's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 to R+11 Partisan Voter Index and recent presidential margins exceeding 17 points for the GOP. Incumbent Representative Keith Self secured renomination comfortably, while Democrat Evan Hunt advanced unopposed, and all major forecasters rate the November 3, 2026 general election as Solid or Safe Republican. Fundraising and small-donor patterns also favor the incumbent. Trader consensus at 92.5% Republican probability aligns with these structural factors, including the district's suburban Dallas-Fort Worth composition across Collin and Hunt counties. A Democratic upset would require an unusually large national midterm swing or unforeseen local disruption, such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, given the consistent historical baseline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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