Incumbent Republican Pat Fallon secured his party's nomination with strong primary support in March, positioning the GOP nominee against Democratic challenger Jason Pearce in the solidly Republican TX-04 district. The seat's partisan voting index and redrawn boundaries that favor conservative-leaning areas in eastern Texas and parts of the Dallas suburbs create a substantial structural edge, consistent with the incumbent's prior strong performances. With the November general election still months away and no major shifts in polling or candidate dynamics reported recently, trader consensus reflects the district's established Republican tilt and limited path for Democratic gains. Upcoming campaign events or fundraising reports could provide incremental updates but are unlikely to alter the core competitive landscape.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
86%
民主党
15%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$1,676 交易量
86%
民主党
$1,854 交易量
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pat Fallon secured his party's nomination with strong primary support in March, positioning the GOP nominee against Democratic challenger Jason Pearce in the solidly Republican TX-04 district. The seat's partisan voting index and redrawn boundaries that favor conservative-leaning areas in eastern Texas and parts of the Dallas suburbs create a substantial structural edge, consistent with the incumbent's prior strong performances. With the November general election still months away and no major shifts in polling or candidate dynamics reported recently, trader consensus reflects the district's established Republican tilt and limited path for Democratic gains. Upcoming campaign events or fundraising reports could provide incremental updates but are unlikely to alter the core competitive landscape.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$3,530结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pat Fallon secured his party's nomination with strong primary support in March, positioning the GOP nominee against Democratic challenger Jason Pearce in the solidly Republican TX-04 district. The seat's partisan voting index and redrawn boundaries that favor conservative-leaning areas in eastern Texas and parts of the Dallas suburbs create a substantial structural edge, consistent with the incumbent's prior strong performances. With the November general election still months away and no major shifts in polling or candidate dynamics reported recently, trader consensus reflects the district's established Republican tilt and limited path for Democratic gains. Upcoming campaign events or fundraising reports could provide incremental updates but are unlikely to alter the core competitive landscape.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$3,530结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Pat Fallon secured his party's nomination with strong primary support in March, positioning the GOP nominee against Democratic challenger Jason Pearce in the solidly Republican TX-04 district. The seat's partisan voting index and redrawn boundaries that favor conservative-leaning areas in eastern Texas and parts of the Dallas suburbs create a substantial structural edge, consistent with the incumbent's prior strong performances. With the November general election still months away and no major shifts in polling or candidate dynamics reported recently, trader consensus reflects the district's established Republican tilt and limited path for Democratic gains. Upcoming campaign events or fundraising reports could provide incremental updates but are unlikely to alter the core competitive landscape.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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