The solidly Republican lean of Texas's 4th Congressional District, reflected in its R+12 partisan voting index and the incumbent's consistent performance, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Pat Fallon secured renomination in the March 3 primary with over 80 percent of the vote, while Democrat Jason Pearce advanced narrowly from his party's primary. The district's configuration, stretching from Dallas exurbs to the Arkansas border, has produced Republican general-election margins above 25 points in recent cycles, with no major polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or external events altering that baseline through early June. General-election dynamics remain limited to standard turnout and messaging considerations ahead of the November 3 contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
86%
民主党
15%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$2,005 交易量
86%
民主党
$2,080 交易量
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican lean of Texas's 4th Congressional District, reflected in its R+12 partisan voting index and the incumbent's consistent performance, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Pat Fallon secured renomination in the March 3 primary with over 80 percent of the vote, while Democrat Jason Pearce advanced narrowly from his party's primary. The district's configuration, stretching from Dallas exurbs to the Arkansas border, has produced Republican general-election margins above 25 points in recent cycles, with no major polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or external events altering that baseline through early June. General-election dynamics remain limited to standard turnout and messaging considerations ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$4,086结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican lean of Texas's 4th Congressional District, reflected in its R+12 partisan voting index and the incumbent's consistent performance, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Pat Fallon secured renomination in the March 3 primary with over 80 percent of the vote, while Democrat Jason Pearce advanced narrowly from his party's primary. The district's configuration, stretching from Dallas exurbs to the Arkansas border, has produced Republican general-election margins above 25 points in recent cycles, with no major polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or external events altering that baseline through early June. General-election dynamics remain limited to standard turnout and messaging considerations ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$4,086结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Republican lean of Texas's 4th Congressional District, reflected in its R+12 partisan voting index and the incumbent's consistent performance, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Pat Fallon secured renomination in the March 3 primary with over 80 percent of the vote, while Democrat Jason Pearce advanced narrowly from his party's primary. The district's configuration, stretching from Dallas exurbs to the Arkansas border, has produced Republican general-election margins above 25 points in recent cycles, with no major polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or external events altering that baseline through early June. General-election dynamics remain limited to standard turnout and messaging considerations ahead of the November 3 contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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