Incumbent Democrat Morgan McGarvey secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in Kentucky's 3rd congressional district, a Louisville-area seat long rated solid or safe Democratic by nonpartisan forecasters. The Republican primary produced nominee Maria Teresa Rodriguez in May 2026, yet the district's consistent partisan lean, McGarvey's fundraising and name recognition, and historical margins have produced overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic general-election victory on November 3. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged in recent months.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$22,571 交易量
$22,571 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$22,571 交易量
$22,571 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$17,125 交易量
94%
共和党
$5,445 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Morgan McGarvey secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in Kentucky's 3rd congressional district, a Louisville-area seat long rated solid or safe Democratic by nonpartisan forecasters. The Republican primary produced nominee Maria Teresa Rodriguez in May 2026, yet the district's consistent partisan lean, McGarvey's fundraising and name recognition, and historical margins have produced overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic general-election victory on November 3. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$22,571结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Morgan McGarvey secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in Kentucky's 3rd congressional district, a Louisville-area seat long rated solid or safe Democratic by nonpartisan forecasters. The Republican primary produced nominee Maria Teresa Rodriguez in May 2026, yet the district's consistent partisan lean, McGarvey's fundraising and name recognition, and historical margins have produced overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic general-election victory on November 3. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$22,571结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Morgan McGarvey secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in Kentucky's 3rd congressional district, a Louisville-area seat long rated solid or safe Democratic by nonpartisan forecasters. The Republican primary produced nominee Maria Teresa Rodriguez in May 2026, yet the district's consistent partisan lean, McGarvey's fundraising and name recognition, and historical margins have produced overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic general-election victory on November 3. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged in recent months.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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