Kentucky's 3rd congressional district, encompassing Louisville and surrounding Jefferson County areas, has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 2024 win by roughly 24 points. Incumbent Morgan McGarvey secured the Democratic nomination without notable opposition in the May 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Maria Teresa Rodriguez emerged from a fragmented field. These results, combined with the district's urban demographics and voting history, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at over 93 percent. A late national political shift, unexpected retirement, or significant scandal could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such reversals improbable ahead of the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$19,893 交易量
$19,893 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
$19,893 交易量
$19,893 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$16,292 交易量
94%
共和党
$3,601 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 3rd congressional district, encompassing Louisville and surrounding Jefferson County areas, has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 2024 win by roughly 24 points. Incumbent Morgan McGarvey secured the Democratic nomination without notable opposition in the May 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Maria Teresa Rodriguez emerged from a fragmented field. These results, combined with the district's urban demographics and voting history, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at over 93 percent. A late national political shift, unexpected retirement, or significant scandal could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such reversals improbable ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$19,893结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 3rd congressional district, encompassing Louisville and surrounding Jefferson County areas, has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 2024 win by roughly 24 points. Incumbent Morgan McGarvey secured the Democratic nomination without notable opposition in the May 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Maria Teresa Rodriguez emerged from a fragmented field. These results, combined with the district's urban demographics and voting history, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at over 93 percent. A late national political shift, unexpected retirement, or significant scandal could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such reversals improbable ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$19,893结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kentucky's 3rd congressional district, encompassing Louisville and surrounding Jefferson County areas, has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 2024 win by roughly 24 points. Incumbent Morgan McGarvey secured the Democratic nomination without notable opposition in the May 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Maria Teresa Rodriguez emerged from a fragmented field. These results, combined with the district's urban demographics and voting history, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at over 93 percent. A late national political shift, unexpected retirement, or significant scandal could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such reversals improbable ahead of the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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