The Republican nominee holds a commanding position in Kentucky's 4th Congressional District because the seat has consistently delivered large GOP margins in recent cycles, reflecting its voter base and registration patterns. Ed Gallrein secured the Republican nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary by defeating longtime incumbent Thomas Massie, backed by presidential endorsement and heavy outside spending that highlighted intraparty tensions. Forecasters rate the district Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. A Democratic victory would require an unprecedented swing in turnout or national conditions far outside historical norms for this district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$34,288 交易量
$34,288 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
93%
民主党
8%
$34,288 交易量
$34,288 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$24,877 交易量
93%
民主党
$9,412 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a commanding position in Kentucky's 4th Congressional District because the seat has consistently delivered large GOP margins in recent cycles, reflecting its voter base and registration patterns. Ed Gallrein secured the Republican nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary by defeating longtime incumbent Thomas Massie, backed by presidential endorsement and heavy outside spending that highlighted intraparty tensions. Forecasters rate the district Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. A Democratic victory would require an unprecedented swing in turnout or national conditions far outside historical norms for this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$34,288结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a commanding position in Kentucky's 4th Congressional District because the seat has consistently delivered large GOP margins in recent cycles, reflecting its voter base and registration patterns. Ed Gallrein secured the Republican nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary by defeating longtime incumbent Thomas Massie, backed by presidential endorsement and heavy outside spending that highlighted intraparty tensions. Forecasters rate the district Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. A Democratic victory would require an unprecedented swing in turnout or national conditions far outside historical norms for this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$34,288结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican nominee holds a commanding position in Kentucky's 4th Congressional District because the seat has consistently delivered large GOP margins in recent cycles, reflecting its voter base and registration patterns. Ed Gallrein secured the Republican nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary by defeating longtime incumbent Thomas Massie, backed by presidential endorsement and heavy outside spending that highlighted intraparty tensions. Forecasters rate the district Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. A Democratic victory would require an unprecedented swing in turnout or national conditions far outside historical norms for this district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题