Kentucky's 6th congressional district features an open seat after incumbent Republican Andy Barr retired to pursue a Senate bid, creating a general election matchup between Republican nominee Ralph Alvarado and Democratic nominee Zach Dembo following their May 19, 2026 primaries. The district carries an R+7 Partisan Voter Index and has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles, though it encompasses Lexington and surrounding areas that introduce some Democratic strength. Early general election polling shows narrow margins or statistical ties between the nominees, while nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Likely Republican. These elements shape trader consensus around a modest Republican edge ahead of the November 3 contest, tempered by the open-seat dynamics and the district's relatively moderate profile within the state.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$26,860 交易量
$26,860 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
62%
民主党
39%
$26,860 交易量
$26,860 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$10,631 交易量
62%
民主党
$16,229 交易量
39%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 6th congressional district features an open seat after incumbent Republican Andy Barr retired to pursue a Senate bid, creating a general election matchup between Republican nominee Ralph Alvarado and Democratic nominee Zach Dembo following their May 19, 2026 primaries. The district carries an R+7 Partisan Voter Index and has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles, though it encompasses Lexington and surrounding areas that introduce some Democratic strength. Early general election polling shows narrow margins or statistical ties between the nominees, while nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Likely Republican. These elements shape trader consensus around a modest Republican edge ahead of the November 3 contest, tempered by the open-seat dynamics and the district's relatively moderate profile within the state.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$26,860结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 6th congressional district features an open seat after incumbent Republican Andy Barr retired to pursue a Senate bid, creating a general election matchup between Republican nominee Ralph Alvarado and Democratic nominee Zach Dembo following their May 19, 2026 primaries. The district carries an R+7 Partisan Voter Index and has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles, though it encompasses Lexington and surrounding areas that introduce some Democratic strength. Early general election polling shows narrow margins or statistical ties between the nominees, while nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Likely Republican. These elements shape trader consensus around a modest Republican edge ahead of the November 3 contest, tempered by the open-seat dynamics and the district's relatively moderate profile within the state.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$26,860结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kentucky's 6th congressional district features an open seat after incumbent Republican Andy Barr retired to pursue a Senate bid, creating a general election matchup between Republican nominee Ralph Alvarado and Democratic nominee Zach Dembo following their May 19, 2026 primaries. The district carries an R+7 Partisan Voter Index and has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles, though it encompasses Lexington and surrounding areas that introduce some Democratic strength. Early general election polling shows narrow margins or statistical ties between the nominees, while nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Likely Republican. These elements shape trader consensus around a modest Republican edge ahead of the November 3 contest, tempered by the open-seat dynamics and the district's relatively moderate profile within the state.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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