Kentucky's 6th congressional district features an open seat after Republican incumbent Andy Barr sought a U.S. Senate nomination, leaving Ralph Alvarado as the GOP nominee against Democrat Zach Dembo. The district's R+7 partisan voting index and double-digit Republican margins in prior cycles anchor trader consensus for a GOP hold near 74 percent. Recent June polling indicated a narrow Alvarado edge amid Democratic spending efforts to contest the Lexington-area seat, yet no major shifts in candidate positioning or national conditions have altered the implied probability ahead of the November general election. Forecasters continue to rate the race Likely or Solid Republican based on historical voting patterns and structural advantages.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$33,631 交易量
$33,631 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
74%
民主党
27%
$33,631 交易量
$33,631 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$14,395 交易量
74%
民主党
$19,236 交易量
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 6th congressional district features an open seat after Republican incumbent Andy Barr sought a U.S. Senate nomination, leaving Ralph Alvarado as the GOP nominee against Democrat Zach Dembo. The district's R+7 partisan voting index and double-digit Republican margins in prior cycles anchor trader consensus for a GOP hold near 74 percent. Recent June polling indicated a narrow Alvarado edge amid Democratic spending efforts to contest the Lexington-area seat, yet no major shifts in candidate positioning or national conditions have altered the implied probability ahead of the November general election. Forecasters continue to rate the race Likely or Solid Republican based on historical voting patterns and structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$33,631结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 6th congressional district features an open seat after Republican incumbent Andy Barr sought a U.S. Senate nomination, leaving Ralph Alvarado as the GOP nominee against Democrat Zach Dembo. The district's R+7 partisan voting index and double-digit Republican margins in prior cycles anchor trader consensus for a GOP hold near 74 percent. Recent June polling indicated a narrow Alvarado edge amid Democratic spending efforts to contest the Lexington-area seat, yet no major shifts in candidate positioning or national conditions have altered the implied probability ahead of the November general election. Forecasters continue to rate the race Likely or Solid Republican based on historical voting patterns and structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$33,631结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kentucky's 6th congressional district features an open seat after Republican incumbent Andy Barr sought a U.S. Senate nomination, leaving Ralph Alvarado as the GOP nominee against Democrat Zach Dembo. The district's R+7 partisan voting index and double-digit Republican margins in prior cycles anchor trader consensus for a GOP hold near 74 percent. Recent June polling indicated a narrow Alvarado edge amid Democratic spending efforts to contest the Lexington-area seat, yet no major shifts in candidate positioning or national conditions have altered the implied probability ahead of the November general election. Forecasters continue to rate the race Likely or Solid Republican based on historical voting patterns and structural advantages.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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