Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern's strong positioning in Massachusetts's 2nd congressional district reflects the area's consistent partisan lean, with forecasters rating the seat Solid Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. McGovern, first elected in the 1990s and re-elected by wide margins including 68.6 percent in 2024, faces no notable primary opposition on September 1 and limited Republican recruitment for the general. The district's voter base in central Massachusetts, including Worcester, has shown little movement toward competitive balance in recent cycles. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these structural factors, though an unusually strong national Republican performance or late-cycle candidate emergence could narrow margins in this safely held seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$44,589 交易量
$44,589 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$44,589 交易量
$44,589 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$32,619 交易量
95%
共和党
$11,970 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern's strong positioning in Massachusetts's 2nd congressional district reflects the area's consistent partisan lean, with forecasters rating the seat Solid Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. McGovern, first elected in the 1990s and re-elected by wide margins including 68.6 percent in 2024, faces no notable primary opposition on September 1 and limited Republican recruitment for the general. The district's voter base in central Massachusetts, including Worcester, has shown little movement toward competitive balance in recent cycles. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these structural factors, though an unusually strong national Republican performance or late-cycle candidate emergence could narrow margins in this safely held seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$44,589结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern's strong positioning in Massachusetts's 2nd congressional district reflects the area's consistent partisan lean, with forecasters rating the seat Solid Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. McGovern, first elected in the 1990s and re-elected by wide margins including 68.6 percent in 2024, faces no notable primary opposition on September 1 and limited Republican recruitment for the general. The district's voter base in central Massachusetts, including Worcester, has shown little movement toward competitive balance in recent cycles. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these structural factors, though an unusually strong national Republican performance or late-cycle candidate emergence could narrow margins in this safely held seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$44,589结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern's strong positioning in Massachusetts's 2nd congressional district reflects the area's consistent partisan lean, with forecasters rating the seat Solid Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. McGovern, first elected in the 1990s and re-elected by wide margins including 68.6 percent in 2024, faces no notable primary opposition on September 1 and limited Republican recruitment for the general. The district's voter base in central Massachusetts, including Worcester, has shown little movement toward competitive balance in recent cycles. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these structural factors, though an unusually strong national Republican performance or late-cycle candidate emergence could narrow margins in this safely held seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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