The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+28, heavy Democratic voter registration, and consistent "safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. Incumbent Jimmy Gomez advanced comfortably from the June 2026 primary against limited Republican opposition, reinforcing the structural advantage in this Los Angeles-area seat. With the general election set for November 2026, the outcome remains sensitive to any late-cycle shifts such as a national political wave, significant candidate withdrawal, or unforeseen legal or personal developments affecting the frontrunner.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$25,027 交易量
$25,027 交易量
民主党
96%
共和党
3%
$25,027 交易量
$25,027 交易量
民主党
96%
共和党
3%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+28, heavy Democratic voter registration, and consistent "safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. Incumbent Jimmy Gomez advanced comfortably from the June 2026 primary against limited Republican opposition, reinforcing the structural advantage in this Los Angeles-area seat. With the general election set for November 2026, the outcome remains sensitive to any late-cycle shifts such as a national political wave, significant candidate withdrawal, or unforeseen legal or personal developments affecting the frontrunner.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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