California's 34th congressional district, centered in Los Angeles, maintains a strong Democratic voter base reflected in consistent past election margins exceeding 50 points. The June 2, 2026, primary advanced incumbent Jimmy Gomez and fellow Democrat Angela Gonzales-Torres as the top two finishers, with Republican Calvin Lee trailing significantly. Under California's top-two system, this matchup ensures a Democratic nominee in the November general election. Trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability to a Democratic victory, consistent with the district's electoral history and limited Republican infrastructure. Unlikely shifts could arise only from unforeseen events such as candidate withdrawal, major scandals, or substantial turnout changes before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$25,027 交易量
$25,027 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
96%
共和党
2%
$25,027 交易量
$25,027 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$7,098 交易量
96%
共和党
$17,929 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 34th congressional district, centered in Los Angeles, maintains a strong Democratic voter base reflected in consistent past election margins exceeding 50 points. The June 2, 2026, primary advanced incumbent Jimmy Gomez and fellow Democrat Angela Gonzales-Torres as the top two finishers, with Republican Calvin Lee trailing significantly. Under California's top-two system, this matchup ensures a Democratic nominee in the November general election. Trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability to a Democratic victory, consistent with the district's electoral history and limited Republican infrastructure. Unlikely shifts could arise only from unforeseen events such as candidate withdrawal, major scandals, or substantial turnout changes before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$25,027结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 34th congressional district, centered in Los Angeles, maintains a strong Democratic voter base reflected in consistent past election margins exceeding 50 points. The June 2, 2026, primary advanced incumbent Jimmy Gomez and fellow Democrat Angela Gonzales-Torres as the top two finishers, with Republican Calvin Lee trailing significantly. Under California's top-two system, this matchup ensures a Democratic nominee in the November general election. Trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability to a Democratic victory, consistent with the district's electoral history and limited Republican infrastructure. Unlikely shifts could arise only from unforeseen events such as candidate withdrawal, major scandals, or substantial turnout changes before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$25,027结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 34th congressional district, centered in Los Angeles, maintains a strong Democratic voter base reflected in consistent past election margins exceeding 50 points. The June 2, 2026, primary advanced incumbent Jimmy Gomez and fellow Democrat Angela Gonzales-Torres as the top two finishers, with Republican Calvin Lee trailing significantly. Under California's top-two system, this matchup ensures a Democratic nominee in the November general election. Trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability to a Democratic victory, consistent with the district's electoral history and limited Republican infrastructure. Unlikely shifts could arise only from unforeseen events such as candidate withdrawal, major scandals, or substantial turnout changes before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题