California's 34th congressional district, encompassing downtown Los Angeles and surrounding areas, features heavy Democratic voter registration and consistent strong support for the party in prior cycles. Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Gomez advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside another Democratic challenger, while the leading Republican received under 14 percent, setting up a November general election between two Democrats. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race as solidly or safely Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan makeup and incumbency advantages that drive the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic winner. A major scandal, health issue, or unexpected shift in turnout could theoretically alter the outcome, though such developments remain rare in this environment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$49,510 交易量
$49,510 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
97%
共和党
<1%
$49,510 交易量
$49,510 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
$20,215 交易量
97%
共和党
$29,295 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 34th congressional district, encompassing downtown Los Angeles and surrounding areas, features heavy Democratic voter registration and consistent strong support for the party in prior cycles. Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Gomez advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside another Democratic challenger, while the leading Republican received under 14 percent, setting up a November general election between two Democrats. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race as solidly or safely Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan makeup and incumbency advantages that drive the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic winner. A major scandal, health issue, or unexpected shift in turnout could theoretically alter the outcome, though such developments remain rare in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$49,510结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 34th congressional district, encompassing downtown Los Angeles and surrounding areas, features heavy Democratic voter registration and consistent strong support for the party in prior cycles. Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Gomez advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside another Democratic challenger, while the leading Republican received under 14 percent, setting up a November general election between two Democrats. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race as solidly or safely Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan makeup and incumbency advantages that drive the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic winner. A major scandal, health issue, or unexpected shift in turnout could theoretically alter the outcome, though such developments remain rare in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$49,510结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETCalifornia's 34th congressional district, encompassing downtown Los Angeles and surrounding areas, features heavy Democratic voter registration and consistent strong support for the party in prior cycles. Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Gomez advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside another Democratic challenger, while the leading Republican received under 14 percent, setting up a November general election between two Democrats. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race as solidly or safely Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan makeup and incumbency advantages that drive the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic winner. A major scandal, health issue, or unexpected shift in turnout could theoretically alter the outcome, though such developments remain rare in this environment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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