The newly configured Texas 37th congressional district, centered in Austin, carries a strongly Democratic partisan voting index of roughly D+30 to D+50 following redistricting. This structural advantage underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Greg Casar secured the Democratic primary with over 80 percent of the vote in March 2026, while Lauren Peña emerged from the Republican runoff in late May. No significant polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or legal developments have altered the outlook since the primaries concluded. A decisive general-election result on November 3 remains the baseline expectation, though late-breaking national political waves, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals could theoretically narrow the margin in this heavily urban district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$33,693 交易量
$33,693 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
97%
共和党
2%
$33,693 交易量
$33,693 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$17,159 交易量
97%
共和党
$16,534 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The newly configured Texas 37th congressional district, centered in Austin, carries a strongly Democratic partisan voting index of roughly D+30 to D+50 following redistricting. This structural advantage underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Greg Casar secured the Democratic primary with over 80 percent of the vote in March 2026, while Lauren Peña emerged from the Republican runoff in late May. No significant polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or legal developments have altered the outlook since the primaries concluded. A decisive general-election result on November 3 remains the baseline expectation, though late-breaking national political waves, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals could theoretically narrow the margin in this heavily urban district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$33,693结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The newly configured Texas 37th congressional district, centered in Austin, carries a strongly Democratic partisan voting index of roughly D+30 to D+50 following redistricting. This structural advantage underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Greg Casar secured the Democratic primary with over 80 percent of the vote in March 2026, while Lauren Peña emerged from the Republican runoff in late May. No significant polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or legal developments have altered the outlook since the primaries concluded. A decisive general-election result on November 3 remains the baseline expectation, though late-breaking national political waves, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals could theoretically narrow the margin in this heavily urban district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$33,693结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The newly configured Texas 37th congressional district, centered in Austin, carries a strongly Democratic partisan voting index of roughly D+30 to D+50 following redistricting. This structural advantage underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Greg Casar secured the Democratic primary with over 80 percent of the vote in March 2026, while Lauren Peña emerged from the Republican runoff in late May. No significant polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or legal developments have altered the outlook since the primaries concluded. A decisive general-election result on November 3 remains the baseline expectation, though late-breaking national political waves, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals could theoretically narrow the margin in this heavily urban district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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