The newly redrawn Texas 37th congressional district, centered in heavily Democratic Austin with a strong partisan lean exceeding D+30, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Redistricting shifted boundaries to encompass more urban and progressive voters while retiring longtime incumbent Lloyd Doggett, allowing Greg Casar to secure the Democratic nomination after the March primary. Republican nominee Lauren Peña advanced through her May runoff but faces structural headwinds in a district consistently rated Solid or Safe Democratic by nonpartisan analysts. Recent primary results and fundraising patterns have reinforced this positioning ahead of the November general election. Shifts could still arise from unusually low Democratic turnout, a major candidate-specific development, or a broader national Republican wave altering local dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$6,058 交易量
94%
共和党
$1,300 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The newly redrawn Texas 37th congressional district, centered in heavily Democratic Austin with a strong partisan lean exceeding D+30, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Redistricting shifted boundaries to encompass more urban and progressive voters while retiring longtime incumbent Lloyd Doggett, allowing Greg Casar to secure the Democratic nomination after the March primary. Republican nominee Lauren Peña advanced through her May runoff but faces structural headwinds in a district consistently rated Solid or Safe Democratic by nonpartisan analysts. Recent primary results and fundraising patterns have reinforced this positioning ahead of the November general election. Shifts could still arise from unusually low Democratic turnout, a major candidate-specific development, or a broader national Republican wave altering local dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$7,357结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The newly redrawn Texas 37th congressional district, centered in heavily Democratic Austin with a strong partisan lean exceeding D+30, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Redistricting shifted boundaries to encompass more urban and progressive voters while retiring longtime incumbent Lloyd Doggett, allowing Greg Casar to secure the Democratic nomination after the March primary. Republican nominee Lauren Peña advanced through her May runoff but faces structural headwinds in a district consistently rated Solid or Safe Democratic by nonpartisan analysts. Recent primary results and fundraising patterns have reinforced this positioning ahead of the November general election. Shifts could still arise from unusually low Democratic turnout, a major candidate-specific development, or a broader national Republican wave altering local dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$7,357结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The newly redrawn Texas 37th congressional district, centered in heavily Democratic Austin with a strong partisan lean exceeding D+30, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Redistricting shifted boundaries to encompass more urban and progressive voters while retiring longtime incumbent Lloyd Doggett, allowing Greg Casar to secure the Democratic nomination after the March primary. Republican nominee Lauren Peña advanced through her May runoff but faces structural headwinds in a district consistently rated Solid or Safe Democratic by nonpartisan analysts. Recent primary results and fundraising patterns have reinforced this positioning ahead of the November general election. Shifts could still arise from unusually low Democratic turnout, a major candidate-specific development, or a broader national Republican wave altering local dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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