The Texas 37th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, centered in the Austin metro area with a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by more than 30 points, drives the market's 93.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Greg Casar advanced comfortably through the March 3 primary with over 80% support, while Republican nominee Lauren Peña emerged from a May runoff in a district where Democrats have consistently posted large margins. Redistricting adjustments preserved the seat's core composition without introducing competitive shifts. Traders' pricing reflects this structural advantage ahead of the November 3 general election, though a significant national wave, candidate scandal, or unusually high turnout swing could still narrow the gap.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$6,058 交易量
94%
共和党
$1,300 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 37th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, centered in the Austin metro area with a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by more than 30 points, drives the market's 93.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Greg Casar advanced comfortably through the March 3 primary with over 80% support, while Republican nominee Lauren Peña emerged from a May runoff in a district where Democrats have consistently posted large margins. Redistricting adjustments preserved the seat's core composition without introducing competitive shifts. Traders' pricing reflects this structural advantage ahead of the November 3 general election, though a significant national wave, candidate scandal, or unusually high turnout swing could still narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$7,357结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 37th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, centered in the Austin metro area with a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by more than 30 points, drives the market's 93.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Greg Casar advanced comfortably through the March 3 primary with over 80% support, while Republican nominee Lauren Peña emerged from a May runoff in a district where Democrats have consistently posted large margins. Redistricting adjustments preserved the seat's core composition without introducing competitive shifts. Traders' pricing reflects this structural advantage ahead of the November 3 general election, though a significant national wave, candidate scandal, or unusually high turnout swing could still narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$7,357结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Texas 37th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, centered in the Austin metro area with a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by more than 30 points, drives the market's 93.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Greg Casar advanced comfortably through the March 3 primary with over 80% support, while Republican nominee Lauren Peña emerged from a May runoff in a district where Democrats have consistently posted large margins. Redistricting adjustments preserved the seat's core composition without introducing competitive shifts. Traders' pricing reflects this structural advantage ahead of the November 3 general election, though a significant national wave, candidate scandal, or unusually high turnout swing could still narrow the gap.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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