Texas's 38th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with nonpartisan forecasters rating it safe or solid for the GOP ahead of the November 2026 general election. Jon Bonck secured the Republican nomination in the May 26 runoff, defeating Shelly deZevallos after earning the top primary spot in March and receiving a Trump endorsement that bolstered his fundraising and support. Democrat Melissa McDonough won her party's primary but faces the structural challenge of competing in a district where Republican candidates have historically prevailed by wide margins. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these partisan dynamics and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive shift.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$17,624 交易量
$17,624 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
82%
民主党
19%
$17,624 交易量
$17,624 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$11,763 交易量
82%
民主党
$5,861 交易量
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 38th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with nonpartisan forecasters rating it safe or solid for the GOP ahead of the November 2026 general election. Jon Bonck secured the Republican nomination in the May 26 runoff, defeating Shelly deZevallos after earning the top primary spot in March and receiving a Trump endorsement that bolstered his fundraising and support. Democrat Melissa McDonough won her party's primary but faces the structural challenge of competing in a district where Republican candidates have historically prevailed by wide margins. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these partisan dynamics and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive shift.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$17,624结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 38th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with nonpartisan forecasters rating it safe or solid for the GOP ahead of the November 2026 general election. Jon Bonck secured the Republican nomination in the May 26 runoff, defeating Shelly deZevallos after earning the top primary spot in March and receiving a Trump endorsement that bolstered his fundraising and support. Democrat Melissa McDonough won her party's primary but faces the structural challenge of competing in a district where Republican candidates have historically prevailed by wide margins. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these partisan dynamics and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive shift.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$17,624结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 38th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with nonpartisan forecasters rating it safe or solid for the GOP ahead of the November 2026 general election. Jon Bonck secured the Republican nomination in the May 26 runoff, defeating Shelly deZevallos after earning the top primary spot in March and receiving a Trump endorsement that bolstered his fundraising and support. Democrat Melissa McDonough won her party's primary but faces the structural challenge of competing in a district where Republican candidates have historically prevailed by wide margins. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these partisan dynamics and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive shift.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题