Texas's 38th congressional district, an open seat after Republican incumbent Wesley Hunt retired to run for Senate, features a strong Republican tilt reflected in its partisan voting index and prior election results. Jon Bonck secured the GOP nomination in the May 26, 2026, primary runoff with Donald Trump's endorsement, defeating Shelly deZevallos after leading the March primary. Democrat Melissa McDonough won her party's nomination. The suburban Houston district's structural Republican advantage, combined with the party's unified primary outcome and limited Democratic crossover appeal in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus around an 82 percent probability for the Republican nominee in the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$17,629 交易量
$17,629 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
83%
民主党
18%
$17,629 交易量
$17,629 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$11,764 交易量
83%
民主党
$5,865 交易量
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 38th congressional district, an open seat after Republican incumbent Wesley Hunt retired to run for Senate, features a strong Republican tilt reflected in its partisan voting index and prior election results. Jon Bonck secured the GOP nomination in the May 26, 2026, primary runoff with Donald Trump's endorsement, defeating Shelly deZevallos after leading the March primary. Democrat Melissa McDonough won her party's nomination. The suburban Houston district's structural Republican advantage, combined with the party's unified primary outcome and limited Democratic crossover appeal in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus around an 82 percent probability for the Republican nominee in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$17,629结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 38th congressional district, an open seat after Republican incumbent Wesley Hunt retired to run for Senate, features a strong Republican tilt reflected in its partisan voting index and prior election results. Jon Bonck secured the GOP nomination in the May 26, 2026, primary runoff with Donald Trump's endorsement, defeating Shelly deZevallos after leading the March primary. Democrat Melissa McDonough won her party's nomination. The suburban Houston district's structural Republican advantage, combined with the party's unified primary outcome and limited Democratic crossover appeal in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus around an 82 percent probability for the Republican nominee in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$17,629结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 38th congressional district, an open seat after Republican incumbent Wesley Hunt retired to run for Senate, features a strong Republican tilt reflected in its partisan voting index and prior election results. Jon Bonck secured the GOP nomination in the May 26, 2026, primary runoff with Donald Trump's endorsement, defeating Shelly deZevallos after leading the March primary. Democrat Melissa McDonough won her party's nomination. The suburban Houston district's structural Republican advantage, combined with the party's unified primary outcome and limited Democratic crossover appeal in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus around an 82 percent probability for the Republican nominee in the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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