Jon Bonck secured the Republican nomination for Texas's 38th Congressional District in the May 2026 primary runoff with strong backing from President Trump, Sen. Ted Cruz, and other party leaders, positioning him as the consensus choice in an open seat vacated by Rep. Wesley Hunt. The Houston-area district maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings such as Solid R from the Cook Political Report and Safe R from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Bonck's substantial fundraising advantage, exceeding $1.5 million compared to Democrat Melissa McDonough's under $50,000, further reinforces trader consensus around his general election prospects on November 3. McDonough, who won her party's March primary and previously challenged the seat in 2024, faces structural headwinds in this environment. Late developments such as scandals or turnout shifts could still influence the outcome, though historical patterns in comparable districts suggest limited volatility.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$28,006 交易量
$28,006 交易量
2026-11-02
乔恩·邦克（共和党）
93%
梅丽莎·麦克多诺（民主党）
4%
$28,006 交易量
$28,006 交易量
2026-11-02
乔恩·邦克（共和党）
$17,956 交易量
93%
梅丽莎·麦克多诺（民主党）
$10,050 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jon Bonck secured the Republican nomination for Texas's 38th Congressional District in the May 2026 primary runoff with strong backing from President Trump, Sen. Ted Cruz, and other party leaders, positioning him as the consensus choice in an open seat vacated by Rep. Wesley Hunt. The Houston-area district maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings such as Solid R from the Cook Political Report and Safe R from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Bonck's substantial fundraising advantage, exceeding $1.5 million compared to Democrat Melissa McDonough's under $50,000, further reinforces trader consensus around his general election prospects on November 3. McDonough, who won her party's March primary and previously challenged the seat in 2024, faces structural headwinds in this environment. Late developments such as scandals or turnout shifts could still influence the outcome, though historical patterns in comparable districts suggest limited volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$28,006结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jon Bonck secured the Republican nomination for Texas's 38th Congressional District in the May 2026 primary runoff with strong backing from President Trump, Sen. Ted Cruz, and other party leaders, positioning him as the consensus choice in an open seat vacated by Rep. Wesley Hunt. The Houston-area district maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings such as Solid R from the Cook Political Report and Safe R from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Bonck's substantial fundraising advantage, exceeding $1.5 million compared to Democrat Melissa McDonough's under $50,000, further reinforces trader consensus around his general election prospects on November 3. McDonough, who won her party's March primary and previously challenged the seat in 2024, faces structural headwinds in this environment. Late developments such as scandals or turnout shifts could still influence the outcome, though historical patterns in comparable districts suggest limited volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$28,006结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETJon Bonck secured the Republican nomination for Texas's 38th Congressional District in the May 2026 primary runoff with strong backing from President Trump, Sen. Ted Cruz, and other party leaders, positioning him as the consensus choice in an open seat vacated by Rep. Wesley Hunt. The Houston-area district maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings such as Solid R from the Cook Political Report and Safe R from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Bonck's substantial fundraising advantage, exceeding $1.5 million compared to Democrat Melissa McDonough's under $50,000, further reinforces trader consensus around his general election prospects on November 3. McDonough, who won her party's March primary and previously challenged the seat in 2024, faces structural headwinds in this environment. Late developments such as scandals or turnout shifts could still influence the outcome, though historical patterns in comparable districts suggest limited volatility.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题