The Texas 38th congressional district's strong Republican lean drives the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 81 percent. The open seat, vacated by retiring incumbent Wesley Hunt, saw Jon Bonck secure the GOP nomination in the May 26 primary runoff with endorsements from party leaders. Democratic nominee Melissa McDonough emerged from her March primary but faces structural disadvantages in this Houston-area district. Recent primary results and the absence of competitive polling shifts have reinforced expectations of a Republican hold in the November general election, though outcomes remain subject to broader midterm dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$17,622 交易量
$17,622 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
81%
民主党
19%
$17,622 交易量
$17,622 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$11,761 交易量
81%
民主党
$5,861 交易量
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 38th congressional district's strong Republican lean drives the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 81 percent. The open seat, vacated by retiring incumbent Wesley Hunt, saw Jon Bonck secure the GOP nomination in the May 26 primary runoff with endorsements from party leaders. Democratic nominee Melissa McDonough emerged from her March primary but faces structural disadvantages in this Houston-area district. Recent primary results and the absence of competitive polling shifts have reinforced expectations of a Republican hold in the November general election, though outcomes remain subject to broader midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$17,622结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 38th congressional district's strong Republican lean drives the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 81 percent. The open seat, vacated by retiring incumbent Wesley Hunt, saw Jon Bonck secure the GOP nomination in the May 26 primary runoff with endorsements from party leaders. Democratic nominee Melissa McDonough emerged from her March primary but faces structural disadvantages in this Houston-area district. Recent primary results and the absence of competitive polling shifts have reinforced expectations of a Republican hold in the November general election, though outcomes remain subject to broader midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$17,622结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Texas 38th congressional district's strong Republican lean drives the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 81 percent. The open seat, vacated by retiring incumbent Wesley Hunt, saw Jon Bonck secure the GOP nomination in the May 26 primary runoff with endorsements from party leaders. Democratic nominee Melissa McDonough emerged from her March primary but faces structural disadvantages in this Houston-area district. Recent primary results and the absence of competitive polling shifts have reinforced expectations of a Republican hold in the November general election, though outcomes remain subject to broader midterm dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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