Texas’s 38th congressional district remains an open seat after incumbent Wesley Hunt retired to pursue a Senate bid, leaving a suburban Houston area with a Republican partisan voting index around R+10. Jon Bonck secured the Republican nomination by winning the May 26 primary runoff, while Melissa McDonough emerged as the Democratic nominee following the March primary. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent electoral math favoring the GOP in recent cycles. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, traders’ consensus on an 82.5% Republican probability aligns with the seat’s structural advantages and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive balance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$17,629 交易量
$17,629 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
83%
民主党
18%
$17,629 交易量
$17,629 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$11,764 交易量
83%
民主党
$5,865 交易量
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas’s 38th congressional district remains an open seat after incumbent Wesley Hunt retired to pursue a Senate bid, leaving a suburban Houston area with a Republican partisan voting index around R+10. Jon Bonck secured the Republican nomination by winning the May 26 primary runoff, while Melissa McDonough emerged as the Democratic nominee following the March primary. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent electoral math favoring the GOP in recent cycles. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, traders’ consensus on an 82.5% Republican probability aligns with the seat’s structural advantages and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$17,629结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas’s 38th congressional district remains an open seat after incumbent Wesley Hunt retired to pursue a Senate bid, leaving a suburban Houston area with a Republican partisan voting index around R+10. Jon Bonck secured the Republican nomination by winning the May 26 primary runoff, while Melissa McDonough emerged as the Democratic nominee following the March primary. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent electoral math favoring the GOP in recent cycles. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, traders’ consensus on an 82.5% Republican probability aligns with the seat’s structural advantages and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$17,629结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas’s 38th congressional district remains an open seat after incumbent Wesley Hunt retired to pursue a Senate bid, leaving a suburban Houston area with a Republican partisan voting index around R+10. Jon Bonck secured the Republican nomination by winning the May 26 primary runoff, while Melissa McDonough emerged as the Democratic nominee following the March primary. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent electoral math favoring the GOP in recent cycles. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, traders’ consensus on an 82.5% Republican probability aligns with the seat’s structural advantages and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive balance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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