Jace Yarbrough secured the Republican nomination for Texas’s 32nd Congressional District after leading the March 2026 primary and advancing when runner-up Ryan Binkley withdrew from the May runoff and endorsed him; President Trump’s backing and Yarbrough’s profile as an Air Force veteran and attorney aligned with America First priorities have reinforced his position. The newly redrawn district, which stretches from Dallas suburbs into more conservative East Texas counties, carries a Republican-leaning Partisan Voter Index and is rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters. Dan Barrios, a Richardson city councilor, won the Democratic primary but trails substantially in fundraising. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus at 80 percent for Yarbrough reflects the district’s structural Republican advantage, unified GOP nominee, and limited Democratic resources.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$30,696 交易量
$30,696 交易量
2026-11-03
贾斯·亚布勒（共和党）
80%
丹·巴里奥斯（民主党）
19%
$30,696 交易量
$30,696 交易量
2026-11-03
贾斯·亚布勒（共和党）
$27,492 交易量
80%
丹·巴里奥斯（民主党）
$3,204 交易量
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jace Yarbrough secured the Republican nomination for Texas’s 32nd Congressional District after leading the March 2026 primary and advancing when runner-up Ryan Binkley withdrew from the May runoff and endorsed him; President Trump’s backing and Yarbrough’s profile as an Air Force veteran and attorney aligned with America First priorities have reinforced his position. The newly redrawn district, which stretches from Dallas suburbs into more conservative East Texas counties, carries a Republican-leaning Partisan Voter Index and is rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters. Dan Barrios, a Richardson city councilor, won the Democratic primary but trails substantially in fundraising. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus at 80 percent for Yarbrough reflects the district’s structural Republican advantage, unified GOP nominee, and limited Democratic resources.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
交易量
$30,696结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jace Yarbrough secured the Republican nomination for Texas’s 32nd Congressional District after leading the March 2026 primary and advancing when runner-up Ryan Binkley withdrew from the May runoff and endorsed him; President Trump’s backing and Yarbrough’s profile as an Air Force veteran and attorney aligned with America First priorities have reinforced his position. The newly redrawn district, which stretches from Dallas suburbs into more conservative East Texas counties, carries a Republican-leaning Partisan Voter Index and is rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters. Dan Barrios, a Richardson city councilor, won the Democratic primary but trails substantially in fundraising. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus at 80 percent for Yarbrough reflects the district’s structural Republican advantage, unified GOP nominee, and limited Democratic resources.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$30,696结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETJace Yarbrough secured the Republican nomination for Texas’s 32nd Congressional District after leading the March 2026 primary and advancing when runner-up Ryan Binkley withdrew from the May runoff and endorsed him; President Trump’s backing and Yarbrough’s profile as an Air Force veteran and attorney aligned with America First priorities have reinforced his position. The newly redrawn district, which stretches from Dallas suburbs into more conservative East Texas counties, carries a Republican-leaning Partisan Voter Index and is rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters. Dan Barrios, a Richardson city councilor, won the Democratic primary but trails substantially in fundraising. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus at 80 percent for Yarbrough reflects the district’s structural Republican advantage, unified GOP nominee, and limited Democratic resources.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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