Texas redistricting completed in 2025 shifted the 32nd congressional district into solidly Republican territory, prompting Democratic incumbent Julie Johnson to seek another seat and drawing a crowded GOP primary field. March 2026 primary results advanced Republican contenders including Jace Yarbrough, while nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican. These structural changes, combined with the district’s new voter composition and limited Democratic infrastructure, underpin the 73 percent Republican consensus in trader pricing, though national midterm dynamics and the November general election outcome remain key variables that could narrow the margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$26,277 交易量
$26,277 交易量
2026-11-04
共和党
73%
民主党
28%
$26,277 交易量
$26,277 交易量
2026-11-04
共和党
$25,876 交易量
73%
民主党
$400 交易量
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas redistricting completed in 2025 shifted the 32nd congressional district into solidly Republican territory, prompting Democratic incumbent Julie Johnson to seek another seat and drawing a crowded GOP primary field. March 2026 primary results advanced Republican contenders including Jace Yarbrough, while nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican. These structural changes, combined with the district’s new voter composition and limited Democratic infrastructure, underpin the 73 percent Republican consensus in trader pricing, though national midterm dynamics and the November general election outcome remain key variables that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
交易量
$26,277结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas redistricting completed in 2025 shifted the 32nd congressional district into solidly Republican territory, prompting Democratic incumbent Julie Johnson to seek another seat and drawing a crowded GOP primary field. March 2026 primary results advanced Republican contenders including Jace Yarbrough, while nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican. These structural changes, combined with the district’s new voter composition and limited Democratic infrastructure, underpin the 73 percent Republican consensus in trader pricing, though national midterm dynamics and the November general election outcome remain key variables that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$26,277结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas redistricting completed in 2025 shifted the 32nd congressional district into solidly Republican territory, prompting Democratic incumbent Julie Johnson to seek another seat and drawing a crowded GOP primary field. March 2026 primary results advanced Republican contenders including Jace Yarbrough, while nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican. These structural changes, combined with the district’s new voter composition and limited Democratic infrastructure, underpin the 73 percent Republican consensus in trader pricing, though national midterm dynamics and the November general election outcome remain key variables that could narrow the margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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