Redistricting enacted in 2025 transformed Texas's 32nd congressional district from a Democratic-leaning seat into one where Donald Trump would have carried approximately 58 percent of the 2024 presidential vote under the new lines. Expert ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the November 3, 2026, general election as Solid or Safe Republican. The Republican primary featured multiple candidates, including a Trump-endorsed contender, with a runoff completed in late May; the Democratic nominee emerged from a March primary. These structural changes and nomination outcomes underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$26,275 交易量
$26,275 交易量
2026-11-04
共和党
75%
民主党
27%
$26,275 交易量
$26,275 交易量
2026-11-04
共和党
$25,875 交易量
75%
民主党
$400 交易量
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting enacted in 2025 transformed Texas's 32nd congressional district from a Democratic-leaning seat into one where Donald Trump would have carried approximately 58 percent of the 2024 presidential vote under the new lines. Expert ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the November 3, 2026, general election as Solid or Safe Republican. The Republican primary featured multiple candidates, including a Trump-endorsed contender, with a runoff completed in late May; the Democratic nominee emerged from a March primary. These structural changes and nomination outcomes underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
交易量
$26,275结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting enacted in 2025 transformed Texas's 32nd congressional district from a Democratic-leaning seat into one where Donald Trump would have carried approximately 58 percent of the 2024 presidential vote under the new lines. Expert ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the November 3, 2026, general election as Solid or Safe Republican. The Republican primary featured multiple candidates, including a Trump-endorsed contender, with a runoff completed in late May; the Democratic nominee emerged from a March primary. These structural changes and nomination outcomes underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$26,275结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting enacted in 2025 transformed Texas's 32nd congressional district from a Democratic-leaning seat into one where Donald Trump would have carried approximately 58 percent of the 2024 presidential vote under the new lines. Expert ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the November 3, 2026, general election as Solid or Safe Republican. The Republican primary featured multiple candidates, including a Trump-endorsed contender, with a runoff completed in late May; the Democratic nominee emerged from a March primary. These structural changes and nomination outcomes underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题