Texas's 32nd congressional district was redrawn in 2025 to create a Republican-leaning seat, shifting the partisan balance and prompting incumbent Democrat Julie Johnson to run elsewhere. Republican primary voters selected Jace Yarbrough as nominee following a March 2026 contest where he led the field and advanced without a contested runoff after his main opponent withdrew. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the district as Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic nominee Dan Barrios faces the general election on November 3, 2026, in a district where recent electoral history and the new map favor the GOP nominee. Trader consensus on these probabilities reflects the structural changes from redistricting and the completed primary process.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$26,278 交易量
$26,278 交易量
2026-11-04
共和党
71%
民主党
28%
$26,278 交易量
$26,278 交易量
2026-11-04
共和党
$25,878 交易量
71%
民主党
$400 交易量
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 32nd congressional district was redrawn in 2025 to create a Republican-leaning seat, shifting the partisan balance and prompting incumbent Democrat Julie Johnson to run elsewhere. Republican primary voters selected Jace Yarbrough as nominee following a March 2026 contest where he led the field and advanced without a contested runoff after his main opponent withdrew. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the district as Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic nominee Dan Barrios faces the general election on November 3, 2026, in a district where recent electoral history and the new map favor the GOP nominee. Trader consensus on these probabilities reflects the structural changes from redistricting and the completed primary process.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
交易量
$26,278结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 32nd congressional district was redrawn in 2025 to create a Republican-leaning seat, shifting the partisan balance and prompting incumbent Democrat Julie Johnson to run elsewhere. Republican primary voters selected Jace Yarbrough as nominee following a March 2026 contest where he led the field and advanced without a contested runoff after his main opponent withdrew. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the district as Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic nominee Dan Barrios faces the general election on November 3, 2026, in a district where recent electoral history and the new map favor the GOP nominee. Trader consensus on these probabilities reflects the structural changes from redistricting and the completed primary process.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$26,278结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 32nd congressional district was redrawn in 2025 to create a Republican-leaning seat, shifting the partisan balance and prompting incumbent Democrat Julie Johnson to run elsewhere. Republican primary voters selected Jace Yarbrough as nominee following a March 2026 contest where he led the field and advanced without a contested runoff after his main opponent withdrew. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the district as Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic nominee Dan Barrios faces the general election on November 3, 2026, in a district where recent electoral history and the new map favor the GOP nominee. Trader consensus on these probabilities reflects the structural changes from redistricting and the completed primary process.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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