The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 and consistent results from recent statewide contests, drives the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Colin Allred secured the nomination after prevailing in the May 2026 Democratic primary runoff, positioning an experienced candidate in a seat covering urban and suburban areas of Dallas and Tarrant counties with large Hispanic and Black populations. All prior race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, and the 2024 general election produced a 37-point Democratic margin. Republican prospects remain limited by the district's electoral math and turnout patterns. Late developments such as a major scandal or unusually low Democratic participation could narrow the gap, though historical precedents in comparably partisan seats indicate such shifts are rare.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$15,394 交易量
$15,394 交易量
民主党
96%
共和党
1%
$15,394 交易量
$15,394 交易量
民主党
96%
共和党
1%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 and consistent results from recent statewide contests, drives the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Colin Allred secured the nomination after prevailing in the May 2026 Democratic primary runoff, positioning an experienced candidate in a seat covering urban and suburban areas of Dallas and Tarrant counties with large Hispanic and Black populations. All prior race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, and the 2024 general election produced a 37-point Democratic margin. Republican prospects remain limited by the district's electoral math and turnout patterns. Late developments such as a major scandal or unusually low Democratic participation could narrow the gap, though historical precedents in comparably partisan seats indicate such shifts are rare.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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