The Texas 33rd congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying it as Solid or Safe Democratic, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Redistricting placed the seat in a heavily Democratic area around Dallas, and the May 26, 2026, Democratic primary runoff produced former Representative Colin Allred as the nominee after he defeated sitting Representative Julie Johnson. The Republican nominee, Patrick Gillespie, emerged from a low-profile primary process. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, the absence of competitive polling or major developments in the intervening period has left the outcome largely determined by the district's established partisan voting patterns and historical margins. Scenarios that could shift odds remain limited to low-probability events such as a late-breaking scandal or extraordinary national political realignment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$2,783 交易量
93%
共和党
$2,357 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 33rd congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying it as Solid or Safe Democratic, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Redistricting placed the seat in a heavily Democratic area around Dallas, and the May 26, 2026, Democratic primary runoff produced former Representative Colin Allred as the nominee after he defeated sitting Representative Julie Johnson. The Republican nominee, Patrick Gillespie, emerged from a low-profile primary process. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, the absence of competitive polling or major developments in the intervening period has left the outcome largely determined by the district's established partisan voting patterns and historical margins. Scenarios that could shift odds remain limited to low-probability events such as a late-breaking scandal or extraordinary national political realignment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$5,140结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 33rd congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying it as Solid or Safe Democratic, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Redistricting placed the seat in a heavily Democratic area around Dallas, and the May 26, 2026, Democratic primary runoff produced former Representative Colin Allred as the nominee after he defeated sitting Representative Julie Johnson. The Republican nominee, Patrick Gillespie, emerged from a low-profile primary process. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, the absence of competitive polling or major developments in the intervening period has left the outcome largely determined by the district's established partisan voting patterns and historical margins. Scenarios that could shift odds remain limited to low-probability events such as a late-breaking scandal or extraordinary national political realignment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$5,140结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Texas 33rd congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying it as Solid or Safe Democratic, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Redistricting placed the seat in a heavily Democratic area around Dallas, and the May 26, 2026, Democratic primary runoff produced former Representative Colin Allred as the nominee after he defeated sitting Representative Julie Johnson. The Republican nominee, Patrick Gillespie, emerged from a low-profile primary process. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, the absence of competitive polling or major developments in the intervening period has left the outcome largely determined by the district's established partisan voting patterns and historical margins. Scenarios that could shift odds remain limited to low-probability events such as a late-breaking scandal or extraordinary national political realignment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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