Redistricting by Texas Republicans has transformed the 33rd Congressional District into one of the state's most Democratic-leaning seats, with performance metrics showing margins exceeding 30 points for Democratic presidential candidates in recent cycles. This structural shift underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93 percent. The May 26 Democratic runoff resolved in favor of former Representative Colin Allred over incumbent Julie Johnson, positioning a high-profile candidate for the November 3, 2026 general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican viability absent major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawal or significant national political realignment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
6%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$2,783 交易量
93%
共和党
$1,782 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting by Texas Republicans has transformed the 33rd Congressional District into one of the state's most Democratic-leaning seats, with performance metrics showing margins exceeding 30 points for Democratic presidential candidates in recent cycles. This structural shift underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93 percent. The May 26 Democratic runoff resolved in favor of former Representative Colin Allred over incumbent Julie Johnson, positioning a high-profile candidate for the November 3, 2026 general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican viability absent major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawal or significant national political realignment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$4,565结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting by Texas Republicans has transformed the 33rd Congressional District into one of the state's most Democratic-leaning seats, with performance metrics showing margins exceeding 30 points for Democratic presidential candidates in recent cycles. This structural shift underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93 percent. The May 26 Democratic runoff resolved in favor of former Representative Colin Allred over incumbent Julie Johnson, positioning a high-profile candidate for the November 3, 2026 general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican viability absent major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawal or significant national political realignment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$4,565结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting by Texas Republicans has transformed the 33rd Congressional District into one of the state's most Democratic-leaning seats, with performance metrics showing margins exceeding 30 points for Democratic presidential candidates in recent cycles. This structural shift underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93 percent. The May 26 Democratic runoff resolved in favor of former Representative Colin Allred over incumbent Julie Johnson, positioning a high-profile candidate for the November 3, 2026 general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican viability absent major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawal or significant national political realignment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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