The strong Republican lean of Texas's 36th congressional district, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent past election margins, positions the Republican nominee as the clear frontrunner ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Incumbent Representative Brian Babin secured his party's nomination with more than 81 percent of the primary vote in March, facing minimal opposition, while Democrat Rhonda Hart advanced from her primary. Cook Political Report classifies the seat as Solid Republican, consistent with historical patterns in this East Texas district that have delivered double-digit margins to GOP candidates. Traders' implied probabilities align with these structural factors, as no major shifts in candidate field, redistricting effects, or polling have emerged in recent months to alter the outlook.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
88%
民主党
12%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$2,427 交易量
88%
民主党
$2,685 交易量
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican lean of Texas's 36th congressional district, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent past election margins, positions the Republican nominee as the clear frontrunner ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Incumbent Representative Brian Babin secured his party's nomination with more than 81 percent of the primary vote in March, facing minimal opposition, while Democrat Rhonda Hart advanced from her primary. Cook Political Report classifies the seat as Solid Republican, consistent with historical patterns in this East Texas district that have delivered double-digit margins to GOP candidates. Traders' implied probabilities align with these structural factors, as no major shifts in candidate field, redistricting effects, or polling have emerged in recent months to alter the outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$5,112结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican lean of Texas's 36th congressional district, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent past election margins, positions the Republican nominee as the clear frontrunner ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Incumbent Representative Brian Babin secured his party's nomination with more than 81 percent of the primary vote in March, facing minimal opposition, while Democrat Rhonda Hart advanced from her primary. Cook Political Report classifies the seat as Solid Republican, consistent with historical patterns in this East Texas district that have delivered double-digit margins to GOP candidates. Traders' implied probabilities align with these structural factors, as no major shifts in candidate field, redistricting effects, or polling have emerged in recent months to alter the outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$5,112结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Republican lean of Texas's 36th congressional district, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent past election margins, positions the Republican nominee as the clear frontrunner ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Incumbent Representative Brian Babin secured his party's nomination with more than 81 percent of the primary vote in March, facing minimal opposition, while Democrat Rhonda Hart advanced from her primary. Cook Political Report classifies the seat as Solid Republican, consistent with historical patterns in this East Texas district that have delivered double-digit margins to GOP candidates. Traders' implied probabilities align with these structural factors, as no major shifts in candidate field, redistricting effects, or polling have emerged in recent months to alter the outlook.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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