Incumbent Republican Michael Cloud secured the nomination with 73% in the March 2026 primary for Texas's 27th congressional district, facing Democrat Tanya Lloyd in the November general election. The district's R+14 Cook PVI, strong Republican performance in recent cycles including 2024 presidential voting, and consistent "Safe Republican" or "Solid Republican" ratings from forecasters underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 91%. Cloud's established fundraising edge and endorsements further reinforce this positioning. A late scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Democratic turnout surge could narrow the margin, though structural advantages and limited recent polling shifts make such reversals improbable before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$31,209 交易量
$31,209 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
91%
民主党
9%
$31,209 交易量
$31,209 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
$20,243 交易量
91%
民主党
$10,966 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Cloud secured the nomination with 73% in the March 2026 primary for Texas's 27th congressional district, facing Democrat Tanya Lloyd in the November general election. The district's R+14 Cook PVI, strong Republican performance in recent cycles including 2024 presidential voting, and consistent "Safe Republican" or "Solid Republican" ratings from forecasters underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 91%. Cloud's established fundraising edge and endorsements further reinforce this positioning. A late scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Democratic turnout surge could narrow the margin, though structural advantages and limited recent polling shifts make such reversals improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$31,209结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Cloud secured the nomination with 73% in the March 2026 primary for Texas's 27th congressional district, facing Democrat Tanya Lloyd in the November general election. The district's R+14 Cook PVI, strong Republican performance in recent cycles including 2024 presidential voting, and consistent "Safe Republican" or "Solid Republican" ratings from forecasters underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 91%. Cloud's established fundraising edge and endorsements further reinforce this positioning. A late scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Democratic turnout surge could narrow the margin, though structural advantages and limited recent polling shifts make such reversals improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$31,209结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETIncumbent Republican Michael Cloud secured the nomination with 73% in the March 2026 primary for Texas's 27th congressional district, facing Democrat Tanya Lloyd in the November general election. The district's R+14 Cook PVI, strong Republican performance in recent cycles including 2024 presidential voting, and consistent "Safe Republican" or "Solid Republican" ratings from forecasters underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 91%. Cloud's established fundraising edge and endorsements further reinforce this positioning. A late scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Democratic turnout surge could narrow the margin, though structural advantages and limited recent polling shifts make such reversals improbable before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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